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Política·Brasil

Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidato

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidato
Política·Brasil

Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidato

Alfredo Gaspar 93%

Tereza Cristina 10%

Daniella Marques 10%

Priscila Costa 8%

Polymarket
NOVO

Alfredo Gaspar 93%

Tereza Cristina 10%

Daniella Marques 10%

Priscila Costa 8%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Alfredo Gaspar

Alfredo Gaspar

$182 Vol.

76%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$128 Vol.

10%

icon for Daniella Marques

Daniella Marques

$335 Vol.

10%

icon for Priscila Costa

Priscila Costa

$218 Vol.

8%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$107 Vol.

22%

icon for Simone Marquetto

Simone Marquetto

$81 Vol.

5%

icon for Marcos Pontes

Marcos Pontes

$177 Vol.

4%

icon for Gilson Machado

Gilson Machado

$73 Vol.

3%

icon for Rogério Marinho

Rogério Marinho

$784 Vol.

1%

icon for Júlia Zanatta

Júlia Zanatta

$60 Vol.

1%

icon for Clarissa Tércio

Clarissa Tércio

$107 Vol.

-

icon for Damares Alves

Damares Alves

$73 Vol.

-

icon for Renata Abreu

Renata Abreu

$73 Vol.

-

icon for Bia Kicis

Bia Kicis

$66 Vol.

-

icon for Rosana Valle

Rosana Valle

$73 Vol.

-

This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro's selection of a vice-presidential running mate for Brazil's October 2026 presidential election has been shaped by stalled alliance talks beyond the Liberal Party (PL) and a preference for a consolidated ticket. On August 5, 2026, Bolsonaro formally announced federal deputy Alfredo Gaspar (PL-AL), a former Alagoas public security secretary with congressional experience since 2023, as his running mate. This move ended weeks of speculation and directly accounts for Gaspar's commanding position in trader consensus. Earlier polling and media attention had elevated other PL figures and allies, but the official nomination shifted probabilities sharply, leaving lower odds for alternatives such as Priscila Costa, Gilson Machado, and Bia Kicis. The timeline aligns with ongoing coalition-building ahead of the first-round vote against incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.

This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.

An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.

If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$2,537
Data de Término
15 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro's selection of a vice-presidential running mate for Brazil's October 2026 presidential election has been shaped by stalled alliance talks beyond the Liberal Party (PL) and a preference for a consolidated ticket. On August 5, 2026, Bolsonaro formally announced federal deputy Alfredo Gaspar (PL-AL), a former Alagoas public security secretary with congressional experience since 2023, as his running mate. This move ended weeks of speculation and directly accounts for Gaspar's commanding position in trader consensus. Earlier polling and media attention had elevated other PL figures and allies, but the official nomination shifted probabilities sharply, leaving lower odds for alternatives such as Priscila Costa, Gilson Machado, and Bia Kicis. The timeline aligns with ongoing coalition-building ahead of the first-round vote against incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.

This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.

An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.

If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$2,537
Data de Término
15 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidato" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alfredo Gaspar" at 76%, followed by "Clarissa Tércio" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidato" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidato," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidato" is "Alfredo Gaspar" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Clarissa Tércio" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidato" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.