Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, leads trader pricing at 65% as the likely winner of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent polling from early September shows Ferraço at 43% in the first round, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 33%, with Helder Salomão (PT) trailing at 13%. Ferraço’s position reflects his current role managing state administration, including fiscal and security priorities, combined with consistent leads in multiple surveys. Pazolini, the former Vitória mayor, holds the second position at 33.5% on the strength of name recognition and base support in the capital region, though he trails in head-to-head second-round simulations. The race remains competitive enough that a runoff on October 25 is possible, with other registered candidates registering minimal support.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRicardo Ferraço 65%
Lorenzo Pazolini 34%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
Arnaldinho Borgo <1%
$40,175 Vol.
$40,175 Vol.
4 out 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
65%
Lorenzo Pazolini
34%
Sergio Vidigal
<1%
Arnaldinho Borgo
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
<1%
Ricardo Ferraço 65%
Lorenzo Pazolini 34%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
Arnaldinho Borgo <1%
$40,175 Vol.
$40,175 Vol.
4 out 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
$14,350 Vol.
65%
Lorenzo Pazolini
$13,943 Vol.
34%
Sergio Vidigal
$3,569 Vol.
<1%
Arnaldinho Borgo
$4,885 Vol.
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
$3,428 Vol.
<1%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, leads trader pricing at 65% as the likely winner of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent polling from early September shows Ferraço at 43% in the first round, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 33%, with Helder Salomão (PT) trailing at 13%. Ferraço’s position reflects his current role managing state administration, including fiscal and security priorities, combined with consistent leads in multiple surveys. Pazolini, the former Vitória mayor, holds the second position at 33.5% on the strength of name recognition and base support in the capital region, though he trails in head-to-head second-round simulations. The race remains competitive enough that a runoff on October 25 is possible, with other registered candidates registering minimal support.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Volume
$40,175Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, leads trader pricing at 65% as the likely winner of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent polling from early September shows Ferraço at 43% in the first round, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 33%, with Helder Salomão (PT) trailing at 13%. Ferraço’s position reflects his current role managing state administration, including fiscal and security priorities, combined with consistent leads in multiple surveys. Pazolini, the former Vitória mayor, holds the second position at 33.5% on the strength of name recognition and base support in the capital region, though he trails in head-to-head second-round simulations. The race remains competitive enough that a runoff on October 25 is possible, with other registered candidates registering minimal support.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$40,175Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, leads trader pricing at 65% as the likely winner of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent polling from early September shows Ferraço at 43% in the first round, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 33%, with Helder Salomão (PT) trailing at 13%. Ferraço’s position reflects his current role managing state administration, including fiscal and security priorities, combined with consistent leads in multiple surveys. Pazolini, the former Vitória mayor, holds the second position at 33.5% on the strength of name recognition and base support in the capital region, though he trails in head-to-head second-round simulations. The race remains competitive enough that a runoff on October 25 is possible, with other registered candidates registering minimal support.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions