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icon for Missouri aprova medida de cédula para redistrito?

Missouri aprova medida de cédula para redistrito?

icon for Missouri aprova medida de cédula para redistrito?

Missouri aprova medida de cédula para redistrito?

Sim

39% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

39% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/). **Missouri voters will decide on November 3, 2026, via veto referendum (Proposition A) whether to uphold or repeal the 2025 legislative map (HB 1) that redraws congressional districts, primarily affecting the Kansas City area.** A “yes” vote would enact the new boundaries; a “no” would retain the 2022 map. After signature collection exceeded requirements and prolonged litigation, the Missouri Supreme Court unanimously ruled on September 3 that the referendum is valid under the state constitution, ordered certification, and barred use of the new map for the November election. The secretary of state complied on September 8, and the U.S. Supreme Court declined to intervene. The measure reached the ballot only after Republican-led efforts to block it and Democratic-backed challenges succeeded. Trader consensus favoring rejection reflects the referendum’s origin as a direct voter check on mid-decade redistricting, the use of the prior map in the general election, and the absence of strong polling momentum for approval amid ongoing partisan disputes. Upcoming campaign activity and any last-minute legal developments could still shift positioning before Election Day.

The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/). **Missouri voters will decide on November 3, 2026, via veto referendum (Proposition A) whether to uphold or repeal the 2025 legislative map (HB 1) that redraws congressional districts, primarily affecting the Kansas City area.** A “yes” vote would enact the new boundaries; a “no” would retain the 2022 map. After signature collection exceeded requirements and prolonged litigation, the Missouri Supreme Court unanimously ruled on September 3 that the referendum is valid under the state constitution, ordered certification, and barred use of the new map for the November election. The secretary of state complied on September 8, and the U.S. Supreme Court declined to intervene. The measure reached the ballot only after Republican-led efforts to block it and Democratic-backed challenges succeeded. Trader consensus favoring rejection reflects the referendum’s origin as a direct voter check on mid-decade redistricting, the use of the prior map in the general election, and the absence of strong polling momentum for approval amid ongoing partisan disputes. Upcoming campaign activity and any last-minute legal developments could still shift positioning before Election Day.

The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:36 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Missouri aprova medida de cédula para redistrito?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Missouri aprova medida eleitoral para redesenhar distritos?" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Missouri aprova medida de cédula para redistrito?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Missouri aprova medida de cédula para redistrito?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Missouri aprova medida de cédula para redistrito?" is "Missouri aprova medida eleitoral para redesenhar distritos?" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Missouri aprova medida de cédula para redistrito?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.