Skip to main content
icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de Nevada
Política·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Nevada

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de Nevada
Política·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Nevada

Polymarket

$56,881 Vol.

Polymarket

$56,881 Vol.

icon for Joe Lombardo (R)

Joe Lombardo (R)

$38,985 Vol.

63%

icon for Aaron Ford (D)

Aaron Ford (D)

$17,896 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a trader consensus advantage in the November 2026 Nevada gubernatorial race, buoyed by his strong June primary performance and recent GOP-commissioned polls showing leads of 7 to 12 points over Democratic nominee and Attorney General Aaron Ford. Earlier surveys, including a July Democratic-affiliated poll and Emerson results, indicated a statistical tie near 44 percent each. Nevada’s narrow Republican tilt in recent presidential voting and Lombardo’s incumbency provide structural support, while Ford benefits from strong name recognition as attorney general and Democratic base turnout potential in a state with competitive swing dynamics. The 84-day timeline to Election Day leaves room for further shifts based on polling trends and campaign messaging.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$56,881
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a trader consensus advantage in the November 2026 Nevada gubernatorial race, buoyed by his strong June primary performance and recent GOP-commissioned polls showing leads of 7 to 12 points over Democratic nominee and Attorney General Aaron Ford. Earlier surveys, including a July Democratic-affiliated poll and Emerson results, indicated a statistical tie near 44 percent each. Nevada’s narrow Republican tilt in recent presidential voting and Lombardo’s incumbency provide structural support, while Ford benefits from strong name recognition as attorney general and Democratic base turnout potential in a state with competitive swing dynamics. The 84-day timeline to Election Day leaves room for further shifts based on polling trends and campaign messaging.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$56,881
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Relacionado

icon for Os democratas vão vencer a corrida para governador do Colorado em 2026?

Os democratas vão vencer a corrida para governador do Colorado em 2026?

94%
Sim
icon for Os democratas vencerão a corrida para governador do Arizona em 2026?

Os democratas vencerão a corrida para governador do Arizona em 2026?

88%
Sim
icon for Os democratas vão vencer a eleição para governador de Connecticut em 2026?

Os democratas vão vencer a eleição para governador de Connecticut em 2026?

96%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Nevada" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Joe Lombardo (R)" at 63%, followed by "Aaron Ford (D)" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Nevada" has generated $56.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Nevada," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Nevada" is "Joe Lombardo (R)" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Aaron Ford (D)" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Nevada" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.