Colorado's structural Democratic advantage, reinforced by its D+6 partisan voting index and consistent wins in recent gubernatorial contests, underpins the market's 91.8% implied probability for a Democratic victory in the 2026 open-seat race. Term-limited incumbent Jared Polis's strong 2022 performance has left a deep bench, with U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet and Attorney General Phil Weiser dominating the June 30 primary after recent forums. Republicans face a fragmented field lacking statewide recognition, limiting their general-election prospects. A national Republican wave, Democratic primary divisions, or unexpected turnout shifts could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current polling averages indicate limited realistic paths to reversal before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para governador do Colorado
$11,337 Vol.
$11,337 Vol.

Democrata
92%

Republicano
9%
$11,337 Vol.
$11,337 Vol.

Democrata
92%

Republicano
9%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colorado's structural Democratic advantage, reinforced by its D+6 partisan voting index and consistent wins in recent gubernatorial contests, underpins the market's 91.8% implied probability for a Democratic victory in the 2026 open-seat race. Term-limited incumbent Jared Polis's strong 2022 performance has left a deep bench, with U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet and Attorney General Phil Weiser dominating the June 30 primary after recent forums. Republicans face a fragmented field lacking statewide recognition, limiting their general-election prospects. A national Republican wave, Democratic primary divisions, or unexpected turnout shifts could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current polling averages indicate limited realistic paths to reversal before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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