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Política·Rob Sand

Senado e Governador de Iowa Combo

icon for Senado e Governador de Iowa Combo
Política·Rob Sand

Senado e Governador de Iowa Combo

Vitória total dos democratas 36%

Dems vencem governo, Reps vencem Senado 34%

Vitória total dos republicanos 29%

Reps vencem governador, Dems vencem Senado 4.5%

Polymarket
NOVO

Vitória total dos democratas 36%

Dems vencem governo, Reps vencem Senado 34%

Vitória total dos republicanos 29%

Reps vencem governador, Dems vencem Senado 4.5%

Polymarket
NOVO

Vitória total dos democratas

$111 Vol.

36%

Dems vencem governo, Reps vencem Senado

$111 Vol.

34%

Vitória total dos republicanos

$651 Vol.

29%

Reps vencem governador, Dems vencem Senado

$111 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Iowa's open 2026 gubernatorial and Senate races feature Democratic state auditor Rob Sand leading Republican businessman Zach Lahn by narrow margins in recent Emerson, Fox, and Siena polls, while Republican congresswoman Ashley Hinson holds a tighter contest against Democratic state representative Josh Turek. Primaries concluded June 2 with Lahn upsetting the Trump-endorsed favorite and Hinson securing the GOP Senate nod. These results position split outcomes as plausible given Iowa's Republican lean at the statewide level alongside Sand's favorable name recognition and independent voter support in the governor's race. Trader pricing on the listed combinations reflects ongoing uncertainty about whether Democratic momentum in one contest will extend to both or produce divided control.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$984
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 11:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Iowa's open 2026 gubernatorial and Senate races feature Democratic state auditor Rob Sand leading Republican businessman Zach Lahn by narrow margins in recent Emerson, Fox, and Siena polls, while Republican congresswoman Ashley Hinson holds a tighter contest against Democratic state representative Josh Turek. Primaries concluded June 2 with Lahn upsetting the Trump-endorsed favorite and Hinson securing the GOP Senate nod. These results position split outcomes as plausible given Iowa's Republican lean at the statewide level alongside Sand's favorable name recognition and independent voter support in the governor's race. Trader pricing on the listed combinations reflects ongoing uncertainty about whether Democratic momentum in one contest will extend to both or produce divided control.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$984
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 11:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Senado e Governador de Iowa Combo" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vitória total dos democratas" at 36%, followed by "Dems vencem governo, Reps vencem Senado" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Senado e Governador de Iowa Combo" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Senado e Governador de Iowa Combo," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Senado e Governador de Iowa Combo" is "Vitória total dos democratas" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dems vencem governo, Reps vencem Senado" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Senado e Governador de Iowa Combo" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.