Recent polling and primary results position Republican Kelly Ayotte as the strong favorite to retain the governorship against Democrat Cinde Warmington, with leads of 10-14 points in aggregates through mid-September. The U.S. Senate contest between Democrat Chris Pappas and Republican John E. Sununu remains far closer, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters after the September 8 primaries and recent surveys showing margins within or near the margin of error. Heavy Republican outside spending and a handful of tied polls have narrowed the Senate gap without shifting the governor outlook. Trader consensus therefore centers on the split outcome of a Republican governor and Democratic senator, as a full Republican sweep would require overcoming the Senate race's competitiveness while a Democratic sweep faces even steeper barriers given Ayotte's established lead.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRepublicanos vencem o governo, democratas vencem o Senado 76%
Republicanos vencem tudo 18%
Vitória total dos democratas 7%
Dems vencem o Governo, Reps vencem o Senado 2.7%
NOVO
NOVO
31 mar 2027
Republicanos vencem o governo, democratas vencem o Senado
76%
Republicanos vencem tudo
18%
Vitória total dos democratas
7%
Dems vencem o Governo, Reps vencem o Senado
3%
Republicanos vencem o governo, democratas vencem o Senado 76%
Republicanos vencem tudo 18%
Vitória total dos democratas 7%
Dems vencem o Governo, Reps vencem o Senado 2.7%
NOVO
NOVO
31 mar 2027
Republicanos vencem o governo, democratas vencem o Senado
$2,901 Vol.
76%
Republicanos vencem tudo
$1,435 Vol.
18%
Vitória total dos democratas
$2,291 Vol.
7%
Dems vencem o Governo, Reps vencem o Senado
$293 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polling and primary results position Republican Kelly Ayotte as the strong favorite to retain the governorship against Democrat Cinde Warmington, with leads of 10-14 points in aggregates through mid-September. The U.S. Senate contest between Democrat Chris Pappas and Republican John E. Sununu remains far closer, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters after the September 8 primaries and recent surveys showing margins within or near the margin of error. Heavy Republican outside spending and a handful of tied polls have narrowed the Senate gap without shifting the governor outlook. Trader consensus therefore centers on the split outcome of a Republican governor and Democratic senator, as a full Republican sweep would require overcoming the Senate race's competitiveness while a Democratic sweep faces even steeper barriers given Ayotte's established lead.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
Volume
$6,920Data de Término
1 abr 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polling and primary results position Republican Kelly Ayotte as the strong favorite to retain the governorship against Democrat Cinde Warmington, with leads of 10-14 points in aggregates through mid-September. The U.S. Senate contest between Democrat Chris Pappas and Republican John E. Sununu remains far closer, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters after the September 8 primaries and recent surveys showing margins within or near the margin of error. Heavy Republican outside spending and a handful of tied polls have narrowed the Senate gap without shifting the governor outlook. Trader consensus therefore centers on the split outcome of a Republican governor and Democratic senator, as a full Republican sweep would require overcoming the Senate race's competitiveness while a Democratic sweep faces even steeper barriers given Ayotte's established lead.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$6,920Data de Término
1 abr 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling and primary results position Republican Kelly Ayotte as the strong favorite to retain the governorship against Democrat Cinde Warmington, with leads of 10-14 points in aggregates through mid-September. The U.S. Senate contest between Democrat Chris Pappas and Republican John E. Sununu remains far closer, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters after the September 8 primaries and recent surveys showing margins within or near the margin of error. Heavy Republican outside spending and a handful of tied polls have narrowed the Senate gap without shifting the governor outlook. Trader consensus therefore centers on the split outcome of a Republican governor and Democratic senator, as a full Republican sweep would require overcoming the Senate race's competitiveness while a Democratic sweep faces even steeper barriers given Ayotte's established lead.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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