All three Senate contests remain toss-ups according to recent polling averages, with Michigan’s Abdul El-Sayed versus Mike Rogers, Maine’s Troy Jackson versus Susan Collins, and Texas’s James Talarico versus Ken Paxton each showing margins inside sampling error. These dynamics produce the market’s near-even split between a Democratic sweep and other outcome combinations, as small shifts in turnout, candidate momentum, or national conditions could flip any seat. Heavy outside spending and ongoing voter persuasion efforts in the final weeks keep probabilities fluid, with no single race yet producing a durable lead that would separate the combo probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVitória total dos Democratas 45%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME 20%
Dems TX & ME, Reps MI 20%
Reps TX e MI, Dems ME 14%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Vitória total dos Democratas
45%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME
20%
Dems TX & ME, Reps MI
20%
Reps TX e MI, Dems ME
14%
Reps TX e ME, Dems MI
7%
Repúblicanos vencem todos
6%
Dems TX, Reps MI & ME
6%
Dems TX e MI, Reps ME
6%
Vitória total dos Democratas 45%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME 20%
Dems TX & ME, Reps MI 20%
Reps TX e MI, Dems ME 14%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Vitória total dos Democratas
$43 Vol.
45%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME
$24 Vol.
20%
Dems TX & ME, Reps MI
$46 Vol.
20%
Reps TX e MI, Dems ME
$45 Vol.
14%
Reps TX e ME, Dems MI
$51 Vol.
7%
Repúblicanos vencem todos
$24 Vol.
6%
Dems TX, Reps MI & ME
$44 Vol.
6%
Dems TX e MI, Reps ME
$21 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
All three Senate contests remain toss-ups according to recent polling averages, with Michigan’s Abdul El-Sayed versus Mike Rogers, Maine’s Troy Jackson versus Susan Collins, and Texas’s James Talarico versus Ken Paxton each showing margins inside sampling error. These dynamics produce the market’s near-even split between a Democratic sweep and other outcome combinations, as small shifts in turnout, candidate momentum, or national conditions could flip any seat. Heavy outside spending and ongoing voter persuasion efforts in the final weeks keep probabilities fluid, with no single race yet producing a durable lead that would separate the combo probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Volume
$298Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
All three Senate contests remain toss-ups according to recent polling averages, with Michigan’s Abdul El-Sayed versus Mike Rogers, Maine’s Troy Jackson versus Susan Collins, and Texas’s James Talarico versus Ken Paxton each showing margins inside sampling error. These dynamics produce the market’s near-even split between a Democratic sweep and other outcome combinations, as small shifts in turnout, candidate momentum, or national conditions could flip any seat. Heavy outside spending and ongoing voter persuasion efforts in the final weeks keep probabilities fluid, with no single race yet producing a durable lead that would separate the combo probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$298Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...All three Senate contests remain toss-ups according to recent polling averages, with Michigan’s Abdul El-Sayed versus Mike Rogers, Maine’s Troy Jackson versus Susan Collins, and Texas’s James Talarico versus Ken Paxton each showing margins inside sampling error. These dynamics produce the market’s near-even split between a Democratic sweep and other outcome combinations, as small shifts in turnout, candidate momentum, or national conditions could flip any seat. Heavy outside spending and ongoing voter persuasion efforts in the final weeks keep probabilities fluid, with no single race yet producing a durable lead that would separate the combo probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
Os republicanos vão vencer a eleição para governador do Texas e os democratas vão vencer a eleição para o Senado do Texas?
42%
Sim
Os democratas vencerão todas as eleições para o Senado e para governador do Maine?
70%
Sim
Os democratas vão vencer todas as eleições para o Senado e para governador em Michigan?
63%
Sim
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Frequently Asked Questions