Recent primaries have set the November 3, 2026 general election field in Kansas, with Republican incumbent Roger Marshall facing Democrat Adam Hamilton in the Senate race and Democrat Cindy Holscher facing Republican Ty Masterson in the open gubernatorial contest. Polling shows Marshall holding a narrow lead in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, yet the margin remains single digits and sensitive to turnout among suburban voters and independents. The gubernatorial matchup lacks extensive public surveys so far, creating uncertainty over whether Democrats can retain the office they have held since 2019 or if Republicans will reclaim it. These cross-office dynamics sustain balanced trader pricing between a Republican sweep and split outcomes, with separation likely to emerge from fall debate performances, fundraising reports, and any national political tailwinds affecting Kansas battlegrounds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRepublicanos dominam 50%
Dems vencem Governador, Reps vencem Senado 24%
Vitória total dos democratas 16%
Reps vencem Gov, Dems vencem Senado 9%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Republicanos dominam
50%
Dems vencem Governador, Reps vencem Senado
29%
Vitória total dos democratas
16%
Reps vencem Gov, Dems vencem Senado
9%
Republicanos dominam 50%
Dems vencem Governador, Reps vencem Senado 24%
Vitória total dos democratas 16%
Reps vencem Gov, Dems vencem Senado 9%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Republicanos dominam
$40 Vol.
50%
Dems vencem Governador, Reps vencem Senado
$28 Vol.
29%
Vitória total dos democratas
$3 Vol.
16%
Reps vencem Gov, Dems vencem Senado
$14 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent primaries have set the November 3, 2026 general election field in Kansas, with Republican incumbent Roger Marshall facing Democrat Adam Hamilton in the Senate race and Democrat Cindy Holscher facing Republican Ty Masterson in the open gubernatorial contest. Polling shows Marshall holding a narrow lead in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, yet the margin remains single digits and sensitive to turnout among suburban voters and independents. The gubernatorial matchup lacks extensive public surveys so far, creating uncertainty over whether Democrats can retain the office they have held since 2019 or if Republicans will reclaim it. These cross-office dynamics sustain balanced trader pricing between a Republican sweep and split outcomes, with separation likely to emerge from fall debate performances, fundraising reports, and any national political tailwinds affecting Kansas battlegrounds.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
Volume
$85Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent primaries have set the November 3, 2026 general election field in Kansas, with Republican incumbent Roger Marshall facing Democrat Adam Hamilton in the Senate race and Democrat Cindy Holscher facing Republican Ty Masterson in the open gubernatorial contest. Polling shows Marshall holding a narrow lead in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, yet the margin remains single digits and sensitive to turnout among suburban voters and independents. The gubernatorial matchup lacks extensive public surveys so far, creating uncertainty over whether Democrats can retain the office they have held since 2019 or if Republicans will reclaim it. These cross-office dynamics sustain balanced trader pricing between a Republican sweep and split outcomes, with separation likely to emerge from fall debate performances, fundraising reports, and any national political tailwinds affecting Kansas battlegrounds.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$85Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent primaries have set the November 3, 2026 general election field in Kansas, with Republican incumbent Roger Marshall facing Democrat Adam Hamilton in the Senate race and Democrat Cindy Holscher facing Republican Ty Masterson in the open gubernatorial contest. Polling shows Marshall holding a narrow lead in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, yet the margin remains single digits and sensitive to turnout among suburban voters and independents. The gubernatorial matchup lacks extensive public surveys so far, creating uncertainty over whether Democrats can retain the office they have held since 2019 or if Republicans will reclaim it. These cross-office dynamics sustain balanced trader pricing between a Republican sweep and split outcomes, with separation likely to emerge from fall debate performances, fundraising reports, and any national political tailwinds affecting Kansas battlegrounds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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