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Política·Eleição

Combo do Senado e Governador do Alasca

icon for Combo do Senado e Governador do Alasca
Política·Eleição

Combo do Senado e Governador do Alasca

Vitória total dos democratas 35%

Vitória republicana 31%

Republicanos ganham o governo, democratas ganham o Senado 19%

Dems vencem Governo, Reps vencem Senado 17%

Polymarket
NOVO

Vitória total dos democratas 35%

Vitória republicana 31%

Republicanos ganham o governo, democratas ganham o Senado 19%

Dems vencem Governo, Reps vencem Senado 17%

Polymarket
NOVO

Vitória total dos democratas

$75 Vol.

35%

Vitória republicana

$0 Vol.

31%

Republicanos ganham o governo, democratas ganham o Senado

$0 Vol.

19%

Dems vencem Governo, Reps vencem Senado

$20 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. **Alaska's 2026 Senate and governor races feature a competitive U.S. Senate contest and an open gubernatorial seat under the state's nonpartisan top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system.** Incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan faces former Rep. Mary Peltola in a toss-up rated race, with recent polls showing narrow margins and Peltola holding slight edges or ties in some surveys amid strong Democratic fundraising and grassroots momentum. The governor's race is wide open following term limits on Republican Mike Dunleavy, drawing a crowded field of Republicans and Democrats such as Tom Begich, with polling fragmented and ratings generally leaning or likely Republican. The leading "Other" outcome at 50% reflects uncertainty over party-line sweeps in this environment, while Dems sweep at 35% and Reps sweep at 31% capture the closely contested Senate dynamics alongside the Republican tilt in the gubernatorial contest. Split outcomes trail due to the difficulty of cross-party victories under current polling and primary structures. The August 18 primary and subsequent ranked-choice tabulation remain key near-term catalysts that could shift trader consensus.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$95
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 11:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. **Alaska's 2026 Senate and governor races feature a competitive U.S. Senate contest and an open gubernatorial seat under the state's nonpartisan top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system.** Incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan faces former Rep. Mary Peltola in a toss-up rated race, with recent polls showing narrow margins and Peltola holding slight edges or ties in some surveys amid strong Democratic fundraising and grassroots momentum. The governor's race is wide open following term limits on Republican Mike Dunleavy, drawing a crowded field of Republicans and Democrats such as Tom Begich, with polling fragmented and ratings generally leaning or likely Republican. The leading "Other" outcome at 50% reflects uncertainty over party-line sweeps in this environment, while Dems sweep at 35% and Reps sweep at 31% capture the closely contested Senate dynamics alongside the Republican tilt in the gubernatorial contest. Split outcomes trail due to the difficulty of cross-party victories under current polling and primary structures. The August 18 primary and subsequent ranked-choice tabulation remain key near-term catalysts that could shift trader consensus.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$95
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 11:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Combo do Senado e Governador do Alasca" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vitória total dos democratas" at 35%, followed by "Vitória republicana" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Combo do Senado e Governador do Alasca" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Combo do Senado e Governador do Alasca," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Combo do Senado e Governador do Alasca" is "Vitória total dos democratas" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vitória republicana" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Combo do Senado e Governador do Alasca" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.