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Política·Eleição

Combo do Senado e Governador do Texas

icon for Combo do Senado e Governador do Texas
Política·Eleição

Combo do Senado e Governador do Texas

Reps vencem governador, Dems vencem Senado 23%

Republicanos varrem 19%

Dems vencem governador, reps vencem Senado 14%

Vitória total dos democratas 7%

Polymarket
NOVO

Reps vencem governador, Dems vencem Senado 23%

Republicanos varrem 19%

Dems vencem governador, reps vencem Senado 14%

Vitória total dos democratas 7%

Polymarket
NOVO

Vitória total dos democratas

$70 Vol.

7%

Republicanos varrem

$67 Vol.

30%

Dems vencem governador, reps vencem Senado

$67 Vol.

31%

Reps vencem governador, Dems vencem Senado

$67 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Recent polling shows both the Texas U.S. Senate and gubernatorial contests remaining highly competitive into August 2026, with Democratic nominee James Talarico holding narrow leads or statistical ties against Republican Ken Paxton in multiple surveys, while incumbent Governor Greg Abbott maintains slight edges or near-ties over Democrat Gina Hinojosa. Paxton's May runoff victory over John Cornyn, backed by a late presidential endorsement, secured the Republican Senate nomination but has left general-election viability questions that traders appear to weigh against Talarico's primary strength. Abbott's incumbency and primary dominance contrast with tightening margins for Hinojosa. These dynamics produce balanced probabilities across Republican and split outcomes, with elevated "Other" pricing reflecting the races' toss-up character and potential for divided results rather than decisive sweeps.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$271
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Recent polling shows both the Texas U.S. Senate and gubernatorial contests remaining highly competitive into August 2026, with Democratic nominee James Talarico holding narrow leads or statistical ties against Republican Ken Paxton in multiple surveys, while incumbent Governor Greg Abbott maintains slight edges or near-ties over Democrat Gina Hinojosa. Paxton's May runoff victory over John Cornyn, backed by a late presidential endorsement, secured the Republican Senate nomination but has left general-election viability questions that traders appear to weigh against Talarico's primary strength. Abbott's incumbency and primary dominance contrast with tightening margins for Hinojosa. These dynamics produce balanced probabilities across Republican and split outcomes, with elevated "Other" pricing reflecting the races' toss-up character and potential for divided results rather than decisive sweeps.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$271
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Combo do Senado e Governador do Texas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dems vencem governador, reps vencem Senado" at 31%, followed by "Republicanos varrem" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Combo do Senado e Governador do Texas" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Combo do Senado e Governador do Texas," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Combo do Senado e Governador do Texas" is "Dems vencem governador, reps vencem Senado" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Republicanos varrem" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Combo do Senado e Governador do Texas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.