Recent polling from July and early August shows Democrat James Talarico holding narrow leads or statistical ties with Republican Ken Paxton in the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race. Talarico benefits from stronger-than-expected support among independents, moderates, and some non-college-educated voters, while Paxton underperforms with core Republicans following his May primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn. Talarico’s substantial fundraising advantage and consistent momentum have kept the contest within a few points in a historically Republican-leaning state. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with upcoming debates, voter turnout among key blocs, and further surveys likely to determine whether one candidate pulls ahead before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado do Texas
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado do Texas
$754,540 Vol.
$754,540 Vol.
3 nov 2026
James Talarico (D)
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
48%
$754,540 Vol.
$754,540 Vol.
3 nov 2026
James Talarico (D)
$360,952 Vol.
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
$393,588 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling from July and early August shows Democrat James Talarico holding narrow leads or statistical ties with Republican Ken Paxton in the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race. Talarico benefits from stronger-than-expected support among independents, moderates, and some non-college-educated voters, while Paxton underperforms with core Republicans following his May primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn. Talarico’s substantial fundraising advantage and consistent momentum have kept the contest within a few points in a historically Republican-leaning state. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with upcoming debates, voter turnout among key blocs, and further surveys likely to determine whether one candidate pulls ahead before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Volume
$754,540Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling from July and early August shows Democrat James Talarico holding narrow leads or statistical ties with Republican Ken Paxton in the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race. Talarico benefits from stronger-than-expected support among independents, moderates, and some non-college-educated voters, while Paxton underperforms with core Republicans following his May primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn. Talarico’s substantial fundraising advantage and consistent momentum have kept the contest within a few points in a historically Republican-leaning state. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with upcoming debates, voter turnout among key blocs, and further surveys likely to determine whether one candidate pulls ahead before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$754,540Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from July and early August shows Democrat James Talarico holding narrow leads or statistical ties with Republican Ken Paxton in the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race. Talarico benefits from stronger-than-expected support among independents, moderates, and some non-college-educated voters, while Paxton underperforms with core Republicans following his May primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn. Talarico’s substantial fundraising advantage and consistent momentum have kept the contest within a few points in a historically Republican-leaning state. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with upcoming debates, voter turnout among key blocs, and further surveys likely to determine whether one candidate pulls ahead before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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