Republican incumbent Keith Self secured the nomination with an overwhelming primary victory in March 2026 and enters the November general election in Texas's 3rd congressional district as the clear frontrunner. The district, redrawn after 2025 redistricting to cover much of Collin and Hunt counties in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, delivered Republican presidential and congressional margins above 60 percent in 2024. Self's established name recognition, fundraising edge, and the area's consistent voting patterns underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome. Democratic nominee Evan Hunt faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safely Republican by analysts. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited realistic paths to an upset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa TX-03
Vencedor da eleição da casa TX-03
$28,068 Vol.
$28,068 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
91%
Partido Democrata
8%
$28,068 Vol.
$28,068 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$18,602 Vol.
91%
Partido Democrata
$9,466 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Keith Self secured the nomination with an overwhelming primary victory in March 2026 and enters the November general election in Texas's 3rd congressional district as the clear frontrunner. The district, redrawn after 2025 redistricting to cover much of Collin and Hunt counties in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, delivered Republican presidential and congressional margins above 60 percent in 2024. Self's established name recognition, fundraising edge, and the area's consistent voting patterns underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome. Democratic nominee Evan Hunt faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safely Republican by analysts. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$28,068Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Keith Self secured the nomination with an overwhelming primary victory in March 2026 and enters the November general election in Texas's 3rd congressional district as the clear frontrunner. The district, redrawn after 2025 redistricting to cover much of Collin and Hunt counties in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, delivered Republican presidential and congressional margins above 60 percent in 2024. Self's established name recognition, fundraising edge, and the area's consistent voting patterns underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome. Democratic nominee Evan Hunt faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safely Republican by analysts. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,068Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Keith Self secured the nomination with an overwhelming primary victory in March 2026 and enters the November general election in Texas's 3rd congressional district as the clear frontrunner. The district, redrawn after 2025 redistricting to cover much of Collin and Hunt counties in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, delivered Republican presidential and congressional margins above 60 percent in 2024. Self's established name recognition, fundraising edge, and the area's consistent voting patterns underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome. Democratic nominee Evan Hunt faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safely Republican by analysts. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited realistic paths to an upset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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