Skip to main content
icon for Vencedor do primeiro turno nas eleições para a Câmara dos Deputados do GA-11?
Política·MIDTERMS

Vencedor do primeiro turno nas eleições para a Câmara dos Deputados do GA-11?

icon for Vencedor do primeiro turno nas eleições para a Câmara dos Deputados do GA-11?
Política·MIDTERMS

Vencedor do primeiro turno nas eleições para a Câmara dos Deputados do GA-11?

Sim

94% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

94% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.The Republican primary for Georgia's 11th Congressional District advanced to a June 16 runoff after no candidate secured a majority on May 19, with John Cowan defeating Rob Adkerson by roughly 30 points to claim the nomination for the open seat vacated by retiring incumbent Barry Loudermilk. Chris Harden secured the Democratic nomination outright in the May primary. The district carries a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent electoral margins, positioning Cowan as the heavy favorite in the November 3 general election against Harden and an independent. This safe-seat dynamic and limited competition support trader consensus around a high probability of one candidate clearing 50 percent without triggering a runoff. No recent polling or developments indicate a shift toward a closer contest.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
Volume
$315
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.The Republican primary for Georgia's 11th Congressional District advanced to a June 16 runoff after no candidate secured a majority on May 19, with John Cowan defeating Rob Adkerson by roughly 30 points to claim the nomination for the open seat vacated by retiring incumbent Barry Loudermilk. Chris Harden secured the Democratic nomination outright in the May primary. The district carries a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent electoral margins, positioning Cowan as the heavy favorite in the November 3 general election against Harden and an independent. This safe-seat dynamic and limited competition support trader consensus around a high probability of one candidate clearing 50 percent without triggering a runoff. No recent polling or developments indicate a shift toward a closer contest.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
Volume
$315
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.

Relacionado

icon for Vencedor Direto do Primeiro Turno na Eleição para a Câmara GA-12?

Vencedor Direto do Primeiro Turno na Eleição para a Câmara GA-12?

95%
Sim
icon for Vencedor Direto do Primeiro Turno na Eleição para a Câmara GA-01?

Vencedor Direto do Primeiro Turno na Eleição para a Câmara GA-01?

96%
Sim
icon for Vencedor Direto do Primeiro Turno na Eleição para a Câmara GA-10?

Vencedor Direto do Primeiro Turno na Eleição para a Câmara GA-10?

87%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do primeiro turno nas eleições para a Câmara dos Deputados do GA-11?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vencedor Direto do Primeiro Turno na Eleição para a Câmara GA-11?" at 94%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor do primeiro turno nas eleições para a Câmara dos Deputados do GA-11?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor do primeiro turno nas eleições para a Câmara dos Deputados do GA-11?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do primeiro turno nas eleições para a Câmara dos Deputados do GA-11?" is "Vencedor Direto do Primeiro Turno na Eleição para a Câmara GA-11?" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do primeiro turno nas eleições para a Câmara dos Deputados do GA-11?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.