Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Bethany Mann in Missouri's 3rd congressional district. The seat's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 91 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid Republican, citing the district's composition spanning St. Charles County and surrounding areas plus Onder's prior margin. Limited Democratic primary competition and absence of major late developments have kept probabilities stable. A significant national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMO-03 House Election Winner
MO-03 House Election Winner
$21,100 Vol.
$21,100 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
$21,100 Vol.
$21,100 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$6,172 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$14,928 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Bethany Mann in Missouri's 3rd congressional district. The seat's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 91 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid Republican, citing the district's composition spanning St. Charles County and surrounding areas plus Onder's prior margin. Limited Democratic primary competition and absence of major late developments have kept probabilities stable. A significant national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$21,100Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Bethany Mann in Missouri's 3rd congressional district. The seat's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 91 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid Republican, citing the district's composition spanning St. Charles County and surrounding areas plus Onder's prior margin. Limited Democratic primary competition and absence of major late developments have kept probabilities stable. A significant national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,100Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Bethany Mann in Missouri's 3rd congressional district. The seat's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 91 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid Republican, citing the district's composition spanning St. Charles County and surrounding areas plus Onder's prior margin. Limited Democratic primary competition and absence of major late developments have kept probabilities stable. A significant national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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