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icon for Vencedor da eleição do Secretário de Estado de Michigan
Política·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da eleição do Secretário de Estado de Michigan

icon for Vencedor da eleição do Secretário de Estado de Michigan
Política·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da eleição do Secretário de Estado de Michigan

Polymarket
NOVO
Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Garlin Gilchrist (D)

Garlin Gilchrist (D)

$2,133 Vol.

85%

icon for Anthony Forlini (R)

Anthony Forlini (R)

$1,694 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Garlin Gilchrist holds an 85% implied probability in the Michigan Secretary of State race because his eight years as lieutenant governor under a popular Democratic governor provide broad name recognition and a proven statewide profile, while Republican nominee Anthony Forlini, a Macomb County clerk, entered the general election with lower visibility. A late-August to early-September poll showed Gilchrist ahead 42-36% among likely voters and 46-36% among definite voters, with a sizable undecided share. Democrats secured the nomination at their August convention after earlier delegate support, and Gilchrist maintains a fundraising edge. The November 3 contest remains subject to turnout patterns, the October 8 debate, and any late shifts in Michigan’s competitive political environment. Minor-party candidates on the ballot account for the remaining market options priced near 50%.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$3,827
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 1:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Garlin Gilchrist holds an 85% implied probability in the Michigan Secretary of State race because his eight years as lieutenant governor under a popular Democratic governor provide broad name recognition and a proven statewide profile, while Republican nominee Anthony Forlini, a Macomb County clerk, entered the general election with lower visibility. A late-August to early-September poll showed Gilchrist ahead 42-36% among likely voters and 46-36% among definite voters, with a sizable undecided share. Democrats secured the nomination at their August convention after earlier delegate support, and Gilchrist maintains a fundraising edge. The November 3 contest remains subject to turnout patterns, the October 8 debate, and any late shifts in Michigan’s competitive political environment. Minor-party candidates on the ballot account for the remaining market options priced near 50%.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$3,827
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 1:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição do Secretário de Estado de Michigan" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Garlin Gilchrist (D)" at 85%, followed by "Anthony Forlini (R)" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição do Secretário de Estado de Michigan" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição do Secretário de Estado de Michigan," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição do Secretário de Estado de Michigan" is "Garlin Gilchrist (D)" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Anthony Forlini (R)" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição do Secretário de Estado de Michigan" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.