New Hampshire’s open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen, features Democratic Representative Chris Pappas as the clear primary frontrunner against Republican contenders including former Senator John Sununu and Scott Brown. Recent polling averages from late June and early July 2026 show Pappas leading Sununu by double digits in head-to-head general-election matchups, consistent with the state’s modest Democratic lean in federal contests and Pappas’s established name recognition. The September 8 primaries remain weeks away, leaving limited time for the Republican nominee to consolidate support or close the gap through campaign events and endorsements. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds incorporates these polling trends, the structural advantages of the Democratic nominee in a battleground-leaning state, and the absence of major late developments that have altered the competitive landscape.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$43,705 Vol.
$43,705 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrata
86%
Republicano
15%
$43,705 Vol.
$43,705 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrata
$27,846 Vol.
86%
Republicano
$15,859 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New Hampshire’s open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen, features Democratic Representative Chris Pappas as the clear primary frontrunner against Republican contenders including former Senator John Sununu and Scott Brown. Recent polling averages from late June and early July 2026 show Pappas leading Sununu by double digits in head-to-head general-election matchups, consistent with the state’s modest Democratic lean in federal contests and Pappas’s established name recognition. The September 8 primaries remain weeks away, leaving limited time for the Republican nominee to consolidate support or close the gap through campaign events and endorsements. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds incorporates these polling trends, the structural advantages of the Democratic nominee in a battleground-leaning state, and the absence of major late developments that have altered the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$43,705Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New Hampshire’s open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen, features Democratic Representative Chris Pappas as the clear primary frontrunner against Republican contenders including former Senator John Sununu and Scott Brown. Recent polling averages from late June and early July 2026 show Pappas leading Sununu by double digits in head-to-head general-election matchups, consistent with the state’s modest Democratic lean in federal contests and Pappas’s established name recognition. The September 8 primaries remain weeks away, leaving limited time for the Republican nominee to consolidate support or close the gap through campaign events and endorsements. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds incorporates these polling trends, the structural advantages of the Democratic nominee in a battleground-leaning state, and the absence of major late developments that have altered the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$43,705Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Hampshire’s open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen, features Democratic Representative Chris Pappas as the clear primary frontrunner against Republican contenders including former Senator John Sununu and Scott Brown. Recent polling averages from late June and early July 2026 show Pappas leading Sununu by double digits in head-to-head general-election matchups, consistent with the state’s modest Democratic lean in federal contests and Pappas’s established name recognition. The September 8 primaries remain weeks away, leaving limited time for the Republican nominee to consolidate support or close the gap through campaign events and endorsements. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds incorporates these polling trends, the structural advantages of the Democratic nominee in a battleground-leaning state, and the absence of major late developments that have altered the competitive landscape.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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