Massachusetts's entrenched Democratic advantage in federal contests shapes the market's heavy tilt toward a Democratic winner. The state has not elected a Republican senator since 2010, and current ratings classify the seat as safe or solid for Democrats. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a clear primary lead over challenger Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 vote, while Republican nominee John Deaton trails badly in general-election polling. Traders assign the Republican outcome just 1.7 percent because no structural or candidate-specific factors have emerged to overcome these baseline conditions. A Democratic primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee or a late national realignment could theoretically narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given historical patterns and the limited time before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado de Massachusetts
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado de Massachusetts
$24,225 Vol.
$24,225 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrata
98%
Republicano
2%
$24,225 Vol.
$24,225 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrata
$18,799 Vol.
98%
Republicano
$5,426 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's entrenched Democratic advantage in federal contests shapes the market's heavy tilt toward a Democratic winner. The state has not elected a Republican senator since 2010, and current ratings classify the seat as safe or solid for Democrats. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a clear primary lead over challenger Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 vote, while Republican nominee John Deaton trails badly in general-election polling. Traders assign the Republican outcome just 1.7 percent because no structural or candidate-specific factors have emerged to overcome these baseline conditions. A Democratic primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee or a late national realignment could theoretically narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given historical patterns and the limited time before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$24,225Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's entrenched Democratic advantage in federal contests shapes the market's heavy tilt toward a Democratic winner. The state has not elected a Republican senator since 2010, and current ratings classify the seat as safe or solid for Democrats. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a clear primary lead over challenger Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 vote, while Republican nominee John Deaton trails badly in general-election polling. Traders assign the Republican outcome just 1.7 percent because no structural or candidate-specific factors have emerged to overcome these baseline conditions. A Democratic primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee or a late national realignment could theoretically narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given historical patterns and the limited time before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$24,225Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's entrenched Democratic advantage in federal contests shapes the market's heavy tilt toward a Democratic winner. The state has not elected a Republican senator since 2010, and current ratings classify the seat as safe or solid for Democrats. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a clear primary lead over challenger Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 vote, while Republican nominee John Deaton trails badly in general-election polling. Traders assign the Republican outcome just 1.7 percent because no structural or candidate-specific factors have emerged to overcome these baseline conditions. A Democratic primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee or a late national realignment could theoretically narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given historical patterns and the limited time before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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