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Política·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-29 (individual)

icon for Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-29 (individual)
Política·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-29 (individual)

NOVO
Polymarket
NOVO

Luz Rivas

$0 Vol.

50%

Angélica María Dueñas

$0 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 29th congressional district, a solidly Democratic seat, the June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Luz Rivas and challenger Angélica María Dueñas to the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current odds remains closely balanced among leading options, consistent with an intra-party contest where turnout, endorsements, and local issues such as housing and economic policy could determine the outcome. Recent primary vote shares showed Rivas ahead but left room for Dueñas to consolidate support ahead of the general. Scheduled developments including candidate debates, fundraising reports, and any shifts in voter registration patterns within the San Fernando Valley could create separation before November 3.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 29th congressional district, a solidly Democratic seat, the June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Luz Rivas and challenger Angélica María Dueñas to the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current odds remains closely balanced among leading options, consistent with an intra-party contest where turnout, endorsements, and local issues such as housing and economic policy could determine the outcome. Recent primary vote shares showed Rivas ahead but left room for Dueñas to consolidate support ahead of the general. Scheduled developments including candidate debates, fundraising reports, and any shifts in voter registration patterns within the San Fernando Valley could create separation before November 3.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-29 (individual)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Luz Rivas" at 50%, followed by "Angélica María Dueñas" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-29 (individual)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-29 (individual)," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-29 (individual)" is "Luz Rivas" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Angélica María Dueñas" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-29 (individual)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.