Several open 2026 gubernatorial contests in swing or purple states—driven by term limits in Ohio, Kansas, and elsewhere plus recent primaries—have kept multiple races competitive for the smallest margin. Iowa stands out with a fresh toss-up rating after Democrat Rob Sand posted a narrow polling lead over Republican Zach Lahn, while Wisconsin shifted to Lean Democratic following its primary. Ohio leads trader consensus due to its battleground profile and open seat, though Texas shows tighter-than-expected early margins around incumbent Greg Abbott. Upcoming fall polling, candidate fundraising, and any national economic shifts could widen or narrow these spreads before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOhio 18.3%
New Hampshire 14.0%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Kansas 12.2%
$11,682 Vol.
$11,682 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Ohio
18%
New Hampshire
9%
Wisconsin
13%
Kansas
12%
Iowa
12%
Texas
12%
Alaska
10%
Georgia
9%
Nevada
7%
Flórida
6%
Michigan
5%
Vermont
4%
Oregon
3%
Minnesota
3%
Maine
2%
Arizona
2%
Colorado
2%
New Mexico
2%
Ohio 18.3%
New Hampshire 14.0%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Kansas 12.2%
$11,682 Vol.
$11,682 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Ohio
$423 Vol.
18%
New Hampshire
$272 Vol.
9%
Wisconsin
$970 Vol.
13%
Kansas
$2,109 Vol.
12%
Iowa
$1,480 Vol.
12%
Texas
$1,569 Vol.
12%
Alaska
$207 Vol.
10%
Georgia
$297 Vol.
9%
Nevada
$2,034 Vol.
7%
Flórida
$224 Vol.
6%
Michigan
$329 Vol.
5%
Vermont
$176 Vol.
4%
Oregon
$319 Vol.
3%
Minnesota
$214 Vol.
3%
Maine
$355 Vol.
2%
Arizona
$269 Vol.
2%
Colorado
$243 Vol.
2%
New Mexico
$194 Vol.
2%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several open 2026 gubernatorial contests in swing or purple states—driven by term limits in Ohio, Kansas, and elsewhere plus recent primaries—have kept multiple races competitive for the smallest margin. Iowa stands out with a fresh toss-up rating after Democrat Rob Sand posted a narrow polling lead over Republican Zach Lahn, while Wisconsin shifted to Lean Democratic following its primary. Ohio leads trader consensus due to its battleground profile and open seat, though Texas shows tighter-than-expected early margins around incumbent Greg Abbott. Upcoming fall polling, candidate fundraising, and any national economic shifts could widen or narrow these spreads before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$11,682Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several open 2026 gubernatorial contests in swing or purple states—driven by term limits in Ohio, Kansas, and elsewhere plus recent primaries—have kept multiple races competitive for the smallest margin. Iowa stands out with a fresh toss-up rating after Democrat Rob Sand posted a narrow polling lead over Republican Zach Lahn, while Wisconsin shifted to Lean Democratic following its primary. Ohio leads trader consensus due to its battleground profile and open seat, though Texas shows tighter-than-expected early margins around incumbent Greg Abbott. Upcoming fall polling, candidate fundraising, and any national economic shifts could widen or narrow these spreads before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,682Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Several open 2026 gubernatorial contests in swing or purple states—driven by term limits in Ohio, Kansas, and elsewhere plus recent primaries—have kept multiple races competitive for the smallest margin. Iowa stands out with a fresh toss-up rating after Democrat Rob Sand posted a narrow polling lead over Republican Zach Lahn, while Wisconsin shifted to Lean Democratic following its primary. Ohio leads trader consensus due to its battleground profile and open seat, though Texas shows tighter-than-expected early margins around incumbent Greg Abbott. Upcoming fall polling, candidate fundraising, and any national economic shifts could widen or narrow these spreads before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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