The Democratic incumbent's strong positioning in a district with a measurable partisan lean underpins trader consensus around a commanding lead, reinforced by primary results from March 2026 and consistent race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic across major forecasters. Limited Republican opposition and historical voting patterns have kept the seat out of serious contention since the last redistricting. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include major national political shifts before November, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or late developments affecting turnout in key areas, though structural factors make such changes unlikely to reverse the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara IL-17
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara IL-17
$18,017 Vol.
$18,017 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
$18,017 Vol.
$18,017 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$5,262 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$12,755 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic incumbent's strong positioning in a district with a measurable partisan lean underpins trader consensus around a commanding lead, reinforced by primary results from March 2026 and consistent race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic across major forecasters. Limited Republican opposition and historical voting patterns have kept the seat out of serious contention since the last redistricting. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include major national political shifts before November, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or late developments affecting turnout in key areas, though structural factors make such changes unlikely to reverse the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Volume
$18,017Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic incumbent's strong positioning in a district with a measurable partisan lean underpins trader consensus around a commanding lead, reinforced by primary results from March 2026 and consistent race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic across major forecasters. Limited Republican opposition and historical voting patterns have kept the seat out of serious contention since the last redistricting. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include major national political shifts before November, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or late developments affecting turnout in key areas, though structural factors make such changes unlikely to reverse the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,017Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic incumbent's strong positioning in a district with a measurable partisan lean underpins trader consensus around a commanding lead, reinforced by primary results from March 2026 and consistent race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic across major forecasters. Limited Republican opposition and historical voting patterns have kept the seat out of serious contention since the last redistricting. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include major national political shifts before November, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or late developments affecting turnout in key areas, though structural factors make such changes unlikely to reverse the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions