Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in Illinois's 16th congressional district, a rural and suburban area covering parts of northern and central Illinois with a consistent Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index. LaHood secured both the Republican primary and prior general elections without opposition, bolstered by family name recognition and limited Democratic recruitment. The Democratic nominee, Paul Nolley, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solid Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican Party aligns with these baseline factors, including historical margins exceeding 20 points. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave altering turnout patterns in the final weeks before the November 2026 election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da Câmara IL-16
Vencedor da eleição da Câmara IL-16
$31,418 Vol.
$31,418 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Democrata
7%
$31,418 Vol.
$31,418 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$13,462 Vol.
93%
Partido Democrata
$17,956 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in Illinois's 16th congressional district, a rural and suburban area covering parts of northern and central Illinois with a consistent Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index. LaHood secured both the Republican primary and prior general elections without opposition, bolstered by family name recognition and limited Democratic recruitment. The Democratic nominee, Paul Nolley, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solid Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican Party aligns with these baseline factors, including historical margins exceeding 20 points. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave altering turnout patterns in the final weeks before the November 2026 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$31,418Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in Illinois's 16th congressional district, a rural and suburban area covering parts of northern and central Illinois with a consistent Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index. LaHood secured both the Republican primary and prior general elections without opposition, bolstered by family name recognition and limited Democratic recruitment. The Democratic nominee, Paul Nolley, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solid Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican Party aligns with these baseline factors, including historical margins exceeding 20 points. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave altering turnout patterns in the final weeks before the November 2026 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,418Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in Illinois's 16th congressional district, a rural and suburban area covering parts of northern and central Illinois with a consistent Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index. LaHood secured both the Republican primary and prior general elections without opposition, bolstered by family name recognition and limited Democratic recruitment. The Democratic nominee, Paul Nolley, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solid Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican Party aligns with these baseline factors, including historical margins exceeding 20 points. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave altering turnout patterns in the final weeks before the November 2026 election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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