Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary for Illinois's 6th congressional district, facing a Republican nominee in a southwest Chicago suburban seat that leans Democratic based on recent voting patterns and redistricting. The district's composition, combined with Casten's established incumbency advantage and fundraising edge, has produced trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold at over 93 percent. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, consistent with the seat's performance in prior cycles. A Republican victory would require a substantial national political shift, major candidate-specific developments such as an unexpected scandal or health event, or significant turnout swings not currently indicated by available indicators.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIL-06 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
IL-06 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$39,638 Vol.
$39,638 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
3%
$39,638 Vol.
$39,638 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$16,926 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$22,712 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary for Illinois's 6th congressional district, facing a Republican nominee in a southwest Chicago suburban seat that leans Democratic based on recent voting patterns and redistricting. The district's composition, combined with Casten's established incumbency advantage and fundraising edge, has produced trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold at over 93 percent. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, consistent with the seat's performance in prior cycles. A Republican victory would require a substantial national political shift, major candidate-specific developments such as an unexpected scandal or health event, or significant turnout swings not currently indicated by available indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$39,638Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary for Illinois's 6th congressional district, facing a Republican nominee in a southwest Chicago suburban seat that leans Democratic based on recent voting patterns and redistricting. The district's composition, combined with Casten's established incumbency advantage and fundraising edge, has produced trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold at over 93 percent. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, consistent with the seat's performance in prior cycles. A Republican victory would require a substantial national political shift, major candidate-specific developments such as an unexpected scandal or health event, or significant turnout swings not currently indicated by available indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,638Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary for Illinois's 6th congressional district, facing a Republican nominee in a southwest Chicago suburban seat that leans Democratic based on recent voting patterns and redistricting. The district's composition, combined with Casten's established incumbency advantage and fundraising edge, has produced trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold at over 93 percent. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, consistent with the seat's performance in prior cycles. A Republican victory would require a substantial national political shift, major candidate-specific developments such as an unexpected scandal or health event, or significant turnout swings not currently indicated by available indicators.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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