Incumbent Democratic Representative Bobby Scott's long tenure and the district's consistent Democratic lean of roughly 18 points anchor trader expectations for a general election victory in November 2026. Analysts at the Cook Political Report rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting historical margins above 60 percent and limited Republican recruitment or fundraising. The August 4 Democratic primary pitting Scott against challenger Justin Maffett and the parallel Republican primary introduce only modest uncertainty, as no competitive GOP contender has emerged. Traders view any late primary upset or external shock as low-probability events that would still leave Democrats favored given the underlying partisan composition and electoral calendar.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVA-03 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
VA-03 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$35,417 Vol.
$35,417 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
$35,417 Vol.
$35,417 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$20,073 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$15,345 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Bobby Scott's long tenure and the district's consistent Democratic lean of roughly 18 points anchor trader expectations for a general election victory in November 2026. Analysts at the Cook Political Report rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting historical margins above 60 percent and limited Republican recruitment or fundraising. The August 4 Democratic primary pitting Scott against challenger Justin Maffett and the parallel Republican primary introduce only modest uncertainty, as no competitive GOP contender has emerged. Traders view any late primary upset or external shock as low-probability events that would still leave Democrats favored given the underlying partisan composition and electoral calendar.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$35,417Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Bobby Scott's long tenure and the district's consistent Democratic lean of roughly 18 points anchor trader expectations for a general election victory in November 2026. Analysts at the Cook Political Report rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting historical margins above 60 percent and limited Republican recruitment or fundraising. The August 4 Democratic primary pitting Scott against challenger Justin Maffett and the parallel Republican primary introduce only modest uncertainty, as no competitive GOP contender has emerged. Traders view any late primary upset or external shock as low-probability events that would still leave Democrats favored given the underlying partisan composition and electoral calendar.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,417Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Bobby Scott's long tenure and the district's consistent Democratic lean of roughly 18 points anchor trader expectations for a general election victory in November 2026. Analysts at the Cook Political Report rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting historical margins above 60 percent and limited Republican recruitment or fundraising. The August 4 Democratic primary pitting Scott against challenger Justin Maffett and the parallel Republican primary introduce only modest uncertainty, as no competitive GOP contender has emerged. Traders view any late primary upset or external shock as low-probability events that would still leave Democrats favored given the underlying partisan composition and electoral calendar.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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