Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 78.5% implied probability for Virginia's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's R+12 partisan voting index and incumbent Ben Cline's unopposed path through the August 4 Republican primary. A pivotal development last week—Virginia Supreme Court's ruling striking down the April voter-approved mid-decade redistricting referendum—reverted boundaries to the solidly Republican map, shifting forecaster ratings from Lean Democratic to Solid Republican across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Cline holds $656,000 cash-on-hand versus fragmented Democratic primary field (Beth Macy leads at $719,000), underscoring barriers to a flip absent major scandals or national wave. Filing deadline looms May 26 ahead of November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVA-06 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
VA-06 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$79,482 Vol.
$79,482 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
79%
Partido Democrata
15%
$79,482 Vol.
$79,482 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$26,169 Vol.
79%
Partido Democrata
$53,313 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 78.5% implied probability for Virginia's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's R+12 partisan voting index and incumbent Ben Cline's unopposed path through the August 4 Republican primary. A pivotal development last week—Virginia Supreme Court's ruling striking down the April voter-approved mid-decade redistricting referendum—reverted boundaries to the solidly Republican map, shifting forecaster ratings from Lean Democratic to Solid Republican across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Cline holds $656,000 cash-on-hand versus fragmented Democratic primary field (Beth Macy leads at $719,000), underscoring barriers to a flip absent major scandals or national wave. Filing deadline looms May 26 ahead of November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$79,482Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 78.5% implied probability for Virginia's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's R+12 partisan voting index and incumbent Ben Cline's unopposed path through the August 4 Republican primary. A pivotal development last week—Virginia Supreme Court's ruling striking down the April voter-approved mid-decade redistricting referendum—reverted boundaries to the solidly Republican map, shifting forecaster ratings from Lean Democratic to Solid Republican across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Cline holds $656,000 cash-on-hand versus fragmented Democratic primary field (Beth Macy leads at $719,000), underscoring barriers to a flip absent major scandals or national wave. Filing deadline looms May 26 ahead of November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$79,482Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 78.5% implied probability for Virginia's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's R+12 partisan voting index and incumbent Ben Cline's unopposed path through the August 4 Republican primary. A pivotal development last week—Virginia Supreme Court's ruling striking down the April voter-approved mid-decade redistricting referendum—reverted boundaries to the solidly Republican map, shifting forecaster ratings from Lean Democratic to Solid Republican across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Cline holds $656,000 cash-on-hand versus fragmented Democratic primary field (Beth Macy leads at $719,000), underscoring barriers to a flip absent major scandals or national wave. Filing deadline looms May 26 ahead of November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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