Republican incumbent Andy Ogles faces a primary challenge from Charlie Hatcher in Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District on August 6, 2026, with Governor Bill Lee endorsing the challenger. The seat’s boundaries were redrawn following a 2026 special session, extending it across Middle Tennessee and diluting prior Democratic-leaning areas to create a stronger Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Political Report rating of Likely Republican and a Trump margin exceeding 20 points in the prior cycle. Democratic primary candidates, including Chaz Molder, face an uphill path in a district with limited swing potential. Limited general-election polling shows Republican leads, aligning with the state’s broader partisan patterns and the absence of major late-cycle shifts that could narrow the gap before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa TN-05
Vencedor da eleição da casa TN-05
$40,126 Vol.
$40,126 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
83%
Partido Democrata
18%
$40,126 Vol.
$40,126 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$18,598 Vol.
83%
Partido Democrata
$21,528 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Andy Ogles faces a primary challenge from Charlie Hatcher in Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District on August 6, 2026, with Governor Bill Lee endorsing the challenger. The seat’s boundaries were redrawn following a 2026 special session, extending it across Middle Tennessee and diluting prior Democratic-leaning areas to create a stronger Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Political Report rating of Likely Republican and a Trump margin exceeding 20 points in the prior cycle. Democratic primary candidates, including Chaz Molder, face an uphill path in a district with limited swing potential. Limited general-election polling shows Republican leads, aligning with the state’s broader partisan patterns and the absence of major late-cycle shifts that could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$40,126Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Andy Ogles faces a primary challenge from Charlie Hatcher in Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District on August 6, 2026, with Governor Bill Lee endorsing the challenger. The seat’s boundaries were redrawn following a 2026 special session, extending it across Middle Tennessee and diluting prior Democratic-leaning areas to create a stronger Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Political Report rating of Likely Republican and a Trump margin exceeding 20 points in the prior cycle. Democratic primary candidates, including Chaz Molder, face an uphill path in a district with limited swing potential. Limited general-election polling shows Republican leads, aligning with the state’s broader partisan patterns and the absence of major late-cycle shifts that could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,126Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Andy Ogles faces a primary challenge from Charlie Hatcher in Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District on August 6, 2026, with Governor Bill Lee endorsing the challenger. The seat’s boundaries were redrawn following a 2026 special session, extending it across Middle Tennessee and diluting prior Democratic-leaning areas to create a stronger Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Political Report rating of Likely Republican and a Trump margin exceeding 20 points in the prior cycle. Democratic primary candidates, including Chaz Molder, face an uphill path in a district with limited swing potential. Limited general-election polling shows Republican leads, aligning with the state’s broader partisan patterns and the absence of major late-cycle shifts that could narrow the gap before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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