Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar leads trader consensus at 50.5% implied probability in the MI-13 Democratic primary, anchored by his overwhelming fundraising dominance—over $5 million cash on hand as of March 31—stemming from self-financing that has secured past primary victories in this Detroit-area district. Challenger state Rep. Donavan McKinney holds 31.5%, gaining from progressive endorsements including Justice Democrats, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, Working Families Party, and local Black leaders, positioning him as a credible threat amid criticisms of Thanedar. A fresh video confrontation over Thanedar's prior lab's animal testing allegations has amplified scrutiny in early May, though no polls post-April filing deadline clarify voter sentiment ahead of the August 4 contest. Minor candidates lag without resources.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoShri Thanedar 51%
Donavan McKinney 34%
Shelby Campbell 4.9%
Anthony Carbonaro 2.7%
$22,846 Vol.
$22,846 Vol.
Shri Thanedar
51%
Donavan McKinney
34%
Shelby Campbell
5%
Anthony Carbonaro
3%
Nazmul Hassan
2%
Shri Thanedar 51%
Donavan McKinney 34%
Shelby Campbell 4.9%
Anthony Carbonaro 2.7%
$22,846 Vol.
$22,846 Vol.
Shri Thanedar
51%
Donavan McKinney
34%
Shelby Campbell
5%
Anthony Carbonaro
3%
Nazmul Hassan
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar leads trader consensus at 50.5% implied probability in the MI-13 Democratic primary, anchored by his overwhelming fundraising dominance—over $5 million cash on hand as of March 31—stemming from self-financing that has secured past primary victories in this Detroit-area district. Challenger state Rep. Donavan McKinney holds 31.5%, gaining from progressive endorsements including Justice Democrats, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, Working Families Party, and local Black leaders, positioning him as a credible threat amid criticisms of Thanedar. A fresh video confrontation over Thanedar's prior lab's animal testing allegations has amplified scrutiny in early May, though no polls post-April filing deadline clarify voter sentiment ahead of the August 4 contest. Minor candidates lag without resources.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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