Michigan's 13th congressional district, anchored in Detroit and surrounding Wayne County communities, maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+20 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary, defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar by roughly 4 points and consolidating support from both progressive and establishment factions ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic presidential and statewide candidates routinely exceed 70% of the vote. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for safe seats, where incumbency or party control rarely flips absent extraordinary events. A late-breaking scandal, health-related withdrawal by the Democratic nominee, or unprecedented turnout collapse could theoretically narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara MI-13
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara MI-13
$48,878 Vol.
$48,878 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
96%
Partido Republicano
2%
$48,878 Vol.
$48,878 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$28,910 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$19,968 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district, anchored in Detroit and surrounding Wayne County communities, maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+20 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary, defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar by roughly 4 points and consolidating support from both progressive and establishment factions ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic presidential and statewide candidates routinely exceed 70% of the vote. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for safe seats, where incumbency or party control rarely flips absent extraordinary events. A late-breaking scandal, health-related withdrawal by the Democratic nominee, or unprecedented turnout collapse could theoretically narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$48,878Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district, anchored in Detroit and surrounding Wayne County communities, maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+20 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary, defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar by roughly 4 points and consolidating support from both progressive and establishment factions ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic presidential and statewide candidates routinely exceed 70% of the vote. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for safe seats, where incumbency or party control rarely flips absent extraordinary events. A late-breaking scandal, health-related withdrawal by the Democratic nominee, or unprecedented turnout collapse could theoretically narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$48,878Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 13th congressional district, anchored in Detroit and surrounding Wayne County communities, maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+20 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary, defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar by roughly 4 points and consolidating support from both progressive and establishment factions ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic presidential and statewide candidates routinely exceed 70% of the vote. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for safe seats, where incumbency or party control rarely flips absent extraordinary events. A late-breaking scandal, health-related withdrawal by the Democratic nominee, or unprecedented turnout collapse could theoretically narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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