Aisha Wahab leads the CA-14 special election market at 83.5% after securing 53.1% of the vote to Melissa Hernandez’s 46.9% in the August 18 runoff, with results still subject to final certification. Wahab advanced from the June 16 top-two primary as the clear frontrunner, drawing strong grassroots support in the East Bay district vacated by Eric Swalwell following misconduct allegations. Hernandez closed the gap through substantial outside spending, including over $2.5 million from AIPAC-affiliated groups in the final weeks, but late-counted ballots favored Wahab. The same two Democrats will face off again in the November general for the full term under updated district lines. Trader pricing reflects the completed special election outcome while leaving room for any remaining procedural steps.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$20,258 Vol.
$20,258 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Aisha Wahab
84%
Melissa Hernandez
16%
$20,258 Vol.
$20,258 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Aisha Wahab
$12,175 Vol.
84%
Melissa Hernandez
$8,083 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aisha Wahab leads the CA-14 special election market at 83.5% after securing 53.1% of the vote to Melissa Hernandez’s 46.9% in the August 18 runoff, with results still subject to final certification. Wahab advanced from the June 16 top-two primary as the clear frontrunner, drawing strong grassroots support in the East Bay district vacated by Eric Swalwell following misconduct allegations. Hernandez closed the gap through substantial outside spending, including over $2.5 million from AIPAC-affiliated groups in the final weeks, but late-counted ballots favored Wahab. The same two Democrats will face off again in the November general for the full term under updated district lines. Trader pricing reflects the completed special election outcome while leaving room for any remaining procedural steps.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Volume
$20,258Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aisha Wahab leads the CA-14 special election market at 83.5% after securing 53.1% of the vote to Melissa Hernandez’s 46.9% in the August 18 runoff, with results still subject to final certification. Wahab advanced from the June 16 top-two primary as the clear frontrunner, drawing strong grassroots support in the East Bay district vacated by Eric Swalwell following misconduct allegations. Hernandez closed the gap through substantial outside spending, including over $2.5 million from AIPAC-affiliated groups in the final weeks, but late-counted ballots favored Wahab. The same two Democrats will face off again in the November general for the full term under updated district lines. Trader pricing reflects the completed special election outcome while leaving room for any remaining procedural steps.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,258Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Aisha Wahab leads the CA-14 special election market at 83.5% after securing 53.1% of the vote to Melissa Hernandez’s 46.9% in the August 18 runoff, with results still subject to final certification. Wahab advanced from the June 16 top-two primary as the clear frontrunner, drawing strong grassroots support in the East Bay district vacated by Eric Swalwell following misconduct allegations. Hernandez closed the gap through substantial outside spending, including over $2.5 million from AIPAC-affiliated groups in the final weeks, but late-counted ballots favored Wahab. The same two Democrats will face off again in the November general for the full term under updated district lines. Trader pricing reflects the completed special election outcome while leaving room for any remaining procedural steps.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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