**Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a strong position heading into the November 3 general election against Republican Kevin Lincoln in California’s 13th congressional district.** Gray advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with 42% of the vote, while Lincoln secured second place at roughly 28%. The district’s boundaries, redrawn under Proposition 50, shifted it toward a clearer Democratic lean of approximately D+6. Gray’s substantial fundraising edge, combined with the structural advantages of incumbency in a district that supported Kamala Harris in 2024, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 90% Democratic probability. Lincoln, a former Stockton mayor with prior congressional experience and notable endorsements, faces an uphill path despite the seat’s recent competitiveness, as nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Democratic. No major developments have altered this positioning since the primary.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCA-13 House Election Winner
CA-13 House Election Winner
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
10%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$4,885 Vol.
90%
Republican Party
$4,407 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a strong position heading into the November 3 general election against Republican Kevin Lincoln in California’s 13th congressional district.** Gray advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with 42% of the vote, while Lincoln secured second place at roughly 28%. The district’s boundaries, redrawn under Proposition 50, shifted it toward a clearer Democratic lean of approximately D+6. Gray’s substantial fundraising edge, combined with the structural advantages of incumbency in a district that supported Kamala Harris in 2024, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 90% Democratic probability. Lincoln, a former Stockton mayor with prior congressional experience and notable endorsements, faces an uphill path despite the seat’s recent competitiveness, as nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Democratic. No major developments have altered this positioning since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
Volume
$9,292Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a strong position heading into the November 3 general election against Republican Kevin Lincoln in California’s 13th congressional district.** Gray advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with 42% of the vote, while Lincoln secured second place at roughly 28%. The district’s boundaries, redrawn under Proposition 50, shifted it toward a clearer Democratic lean of approximately D+6. Gray’s substantial fundraising edge, combined with the structural advantages of incumbency in a district that supported Kamala Harris in 2024, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 90% Democratic probability. Lincoln, a former Stockton mayor with prior congressional experience and notable endorsements, faces an uphill path despite the seat’s recent competitiveness, as nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Democratic. No major developments have altered this positioning since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,292Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a strong position heading into the November 3 general election against Republican Kevin Lincoln in California’s 13th congressional district.** Gray advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with 42% of the vote, while Lincoln secured second place at roughly 28%. The district’s boundaries, redrawn under Proposition 50, shifted it toward a clearer Democratic lean of approximately D+6. Gray’s substantial fundraising edge, combined with the structural advantages of incumbency in a district that supported Kamala Harris in 2024, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 90% Democratic probability. Lincoln, a former Stockton mayor with prior congressional experience and notable endorsements, faces an uphill path despite the seat’s recent competitiveness, as nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Democratic. No major developments have altered this positioning since the primary.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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