Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois leading in popular vote while the Coalition Avenir Québec trails but remains competitive in francophone regions outside Montreal, producing a narrow range of plausible seat outcomes for the CAQ on October 5. The new electoral map and concentration of tight PQ-CAQ contests in key ridings amplify volatility in seat totals. A recent CAQ-commissioned survey indicated some momentum for leader Christine Fréchette, yet independent trackers project the CAQ near the low-to-mid 20s on average. The first leaders’ debate centered on critiques of the incumbent record, with opposition attacks on spending and services potentially influencing undecided voters in battleground areas. These factors sustain the close distribution across the 20–29 seat bands in trader assessments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado20-24 37%
30+ 36%
25-29 29%
15-19 10.2%
$17,842 Vol.
$17,842 Vol.
5 out 2026
<5
<1%
5-9
1%
10-14
4%
15-19
8%
20-24
37%
25-29
29%
30+
36%
20-24 37%
30+ 36%
25-29 29%
15-19 10.2%
$17,842 Vol.
$17,842 Vol.
5 out 2026
<5
$827 Vol.
<1%
5-9
$1,320 Vol.
1%
10-14
$3,335 Vol.
4%
15-19
$1,808 Vol.
8%
20-24
$3,400 Vol.
37%
25-29
$1,536 Vol.
29%
30+
$5,615 Vol.
36%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois leading in popular vote while the Coalition Avenir Québec trails but remains competitive in francophone regions outside Montreal, producing a narrow range of plausible seat outcomes for the CAQ on October 5. The new electoral map and concentration of tight PQ-CAQ contests in key ridings amplify volatility in seat totals. A recent CAQ-commissioned survey indicated some momentum for leader Christine Fréchette, yet independent trackers project the CAQ near the low-to-mid 20s on average. The first leaders’ debate centered on critiques of the incumbent record, with opposition attacks on spending and services potentially influencing undecided voters in battleground areas. These factors sustain the close distribution across the 20–29 seat bands in trader assessments.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Volume
$17,842Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois leading in popular vote while the Coalition Avenir Québec trails but remains competitive in francophone regions outside Montreal, producing a narrow range of plausible seat outcomes for the CAQ on October 5. The new electoral map and concentration of tight PQ-CAQ contests in key ridings amplify volatility in seat totals. A recent CAQ-commissioned survey indicated some momentum for leader Christine Fréchette, yet independent trackers project the CAQ near the low-to-mid 20s on average. The first leaders’ debate centered on critiques of the incumbent record, with opposition attacks on spending and services potentially influencing undecided voters in battleground areas. These factors sustain the close distribution across the 20–29 seat bands in trader assessments.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$17,842Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois leading in popular vote while the Coalition Avenir Québec trails but remains competitive in francophone regions outside Montreal, producing a narrow range of plausible seat outcomes for the CAQ on October 5. The new electoral map and concentration of tight PQ-CAQ contests in key ridings amplify volatility in seat totals. A recent CAQ-commissioned survey indicated some momentum for leader Christine Fréchette, yet independent trackers project the CAQ near the low-to-mid 20s on average. The first leaders’ debate centered on critiques of the incumbent record, with opposition attacks on spending and services potentially influencing undecided voters in battleground areas. These factors sustain the close distribution across the 20–29 seat bands in trader assessments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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