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icon for Idade do candidato presidencial democrata de 2028?

Idade do candidato presidencial democrata de 2028?

icon for Idade do candidato presidencial democrata de 2028?

Idade do candidato presidencial democrata de 2028?

55-64 40%

45-54 28%

Menos de 45 22%

65-74 9.4%

Polymarket
NOVO

55-64 40%

45-54 28%

Menos de 45 22%

65-74 9.4%

Polymarket
NOVO

Menos de 45

$66 Vol.

22%

45-54

$112 Vol.

28%

55-64

$86 Vol.

40%

65-74

$48 Vol.

9%

75-84

$53 Vol.

8%

85+

$26 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. **The 55-64 age bracket leads at 39.5% because traders view experienced figures such as Gavin Newsom (61 in 2028) and Kamala Harris (64) as the strongest early contenders in a wide-open Democratic field.** Their established profiles, fundraising networks, and name recognition give them advantages in a primary that will begin after the 2026 midterms. The 45-54 range (27.5%) draws support from governors like Gretchen Whitmer (57) and Josh Shapiro (55), who combine governing records with broader appeal. Younger options including Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (39) and Jon Ossoff (41) lift the under-45 share to 21.5%, reflecting market pricing of generational-change momentum and polling gains among base voters, though structural barriers remain for first-time national candidates. Older brackets stay low as the field tilts away from repeat septuagenarian nominees.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Volume
$391
Data de Término
31 ago 2028
Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. **The 55-64 age bracket leads at 39.5% because traders view experienced figures such as Gavin Newsom (61 in 2028) and Kamala Harris (64) as the strongest early contenders in a wide-open Democratic field.** Their established profiles, fundraising networks, and name recognition give them advantages in a primary that will begin after the 2026 midterms. The 45-54 range (27.5%) draws support from governors like Gretchen Whitmer (57) and Josh Shapiro (55), who combine governing records with broader appeal. Younger options including Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (39) and Jon Ossoff (41) lift the under-45 share to 21.5%, reflecting market pricing of generational-change momentum and polling gains among base voters, though structural barriers remain for first-time national candidates. Older brackets stay low as the field tilts away from repeat septuagenarian nominees.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Volume
$391
Data de Término
31 ago 2028
Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Idade do candidato presidencial democrata de 2028?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "55-64" at 40%, followed by "45-54" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Idade do candidato presidencial democrata de 2028?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 15, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Idade do candidato presidencial democrata de 2028?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Idade do candidato presidencial democrata de 2028?" is "55-64" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "45-54" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Idade do candidato presidencial democrata de 2028?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.