Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections feature a 5% proportional threshold for party-list seats. Yabloko, the sole registered party openly opposing the Ukraine conflict and campaigning under a "For Peace and Freedom" platform, secured Central Election Commission registration of its federal and single-mandate lists in late July after submitting required signatures. However, the party confronts extensive candidate disqualifications, administrative fines, raids, and foreign-agent designations affecting dozens of members, alongside a Supreme Court hearing on August 10 to consider a lawsuit seeking its outright exclusion. Historical polling shows Yabloko support consistently below 3%, reflecting structural constraints on opposition parties and limited voter mobilization under current conditions. These factors underpin trader consensus on the low likelihood of threshold clearance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleições na Rússia: Yabloko Limpa o Limiar da Duma?
Eleições na Rússia: Yabloko Limpa o Limiar da Duma?
Sim
12% chance
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
Sim
12% chance
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections feature a 5% proportional threshold for party-list seats. Yabloko, the sole registered party openly opposing the Ukraine conflict and campaigning under a "For Peace and Freedom" platform, secured Central Election Commission registration of its federal and single-mandate lists in late July after submitting required signatures. However, the party confronts extensive candidate disqualifications, administrative fines, raids, and foreign-agent designations affecting dozens of members, alongside a Supreme Court hearing on August 10 to consider a lawsuit seeking its outright exclusion. Historical polling shows Yabloko support consistently below 3%, reflecting structural constraints on opposition parties and limited voter mobilization under current conditions. These factors underpin trader consensus on the low likelihood of threshold clearance.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,347Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections feature a 5% proportional threshold for party-list seats. Yabloko, the sole registered party openly opposing the Ukraine conflict and campaigning under a "For Peace and Freedom" platform, secured Central Election Commission registration of its federal and single-mandate lists in late July after submitting required signatures. However, the party confronts extensive candidate disqualifications, administrative fines, raids, and foreign-agent designations affecting dozens of members, alongside a Supreme Court hearing on August 10 to consider a lawsuit seeking its outright exclusion. Historical polling shows Yabloko support consistently below 3%, reflecting structural constraints on opposition parties and limited voter mobilization under current conditions. These factors underpin trader consensus on the low likelihood of threshold clearance.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$3,347Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections feature a 5% proportional threshold for party-list seats. Yabloko, the sole registered party openly opposing the Ukraine conflict and campaigning under a "For Peace and Freedom" platform, secured Central Election Commission registration of its federal and single-mandate lists in late July after submitting required signatures. However, the party confronts extensive candidate disqualifications, administrative fines, raids, and foreign-agent designations affecting dozens of members, alongside a Supreme Court hearing on August 10 to consider a lawsuit seeking its outright exclusion. Historical polling shows Yabloko support consistently below 3%, reflecting structural constraints on opposition parties and limited voter mobilization under current conditions. These factors underpin trader consensus on the low likelihood of threshold clearance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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