Francesca Hong holds an 82.5% implied probability as the Kenosha County winner in Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary, reflecting her commanding statewide lead in recent Marquette polling and consistent grassroots momentum as the frontrunner. With incumbent Tony Evers not seeking re-election, Hong has consolidated support among progressive and working-class voters through her state assembly record and DSA-backed platform focused on affordability and public services. David Crowley, at 17%, draws backing from establishment figures and Milwaukee-area networks as county executive, yet trails significantly outside his base. Other declared candidates including Kelda Roys and Joel Brennan remain at lower probabilities amid Hong’s poll dominance and the primary’s imminent resolution. Recent fundraising data and candidate withdrawals have further reinforced trader consensus around Hong’s edge in county-level vote shares.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
NOVO
11 ago 2026
Francesca Hong
84%
David Crowley
17%
NOVO
NOVO
11 ago 2026
Francesca Hong
$2,023 Vol.
84%
David Crowley
$278 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Kenosha County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Kenosha County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Kenosha County.Francesca Hong holds an 82.5% implied probability as the Kenosha County winner in Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary, reflecting her commanding statewide lead in recent Marquette polling and consistent grassroots momentum as the frontrunner. With incumbent Tony Evers not seeking re-election, Hong has consolidated support among progressive and working-class voters through her state assembly record and DSA-backed platform focused on affordability and public services. David Crowley, at 17%, draws backing from establishment figures and Milwaukee-area networks as county executive, yet trails significantly outside his base. Other declared candidates including Kelda Roys and Joel Brennan remain at lower probabilities amid Hong’s poll dominance and the primary’s imminent resolution. Recent fundraising data and candidate withdrawals have further reinforced trader consensus around Hong’s edge in county-level vote shares.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Kenosha County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Kenosha County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Kenosha County.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Kenosha County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Kenosha County.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 7, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$2,301Data de Término
11 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Kenosha County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Kenosha County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Kenosha County.Francesca Hong holds an 82.5% implied probability as the Kenosha County winner in Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary, reflecting her commanding statewide lead in recent Marquette polling and consistent grassroots momentum as the frontrunner. With incumbent Tony Evers not seeking re-election, Hong has consolidated support among progressive and working-class voters through her state assembly record and DSA-backed platform focused on affordability and public services. David Crowley, at 17%, draws backing from establishment figures and Milwaukee-area networks as county executive, yet trails significantly outside his base. Other declared candidates including Kelda Roys and Joel Brennan remain at lower probabilities amid Hong’s poll dominance and the primary’s imminent resolution. Recent fundraising data and candidate withdrawals have further reinforced trader consensus around Hong’s edge in county-level vote shares.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Kenosha County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Kenosha County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Kenosha County.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Kenosha County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Kenosha County.
Volume
$2,301Data de Término
11 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Francesca Hong holds an 82.5% implied probability as the Kenosha County winner in Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary, reflecting her commanding statewide lead in recent Marquette polling and consistent grassroots momentum as the frontrunner. With incumbent Tony Evers not seeking re-election, Hong has consolidated support among progressive and working-class voters through her state assembly record and DSA-backed platform focused on affordability and public services. David Crowley, at 17%, draws backing from establishment figures and Milwaukee-area networks as county executive, yet trails significantly outside his base. Other declared candidates including Kelda Roys and Joel Brennan remain at lower probabilities amid Hong’s poll dominance and the primary’s imminent resolution. Recent fundraising data and candidate withdrawals have further reinforced trader consensus around Hong’s edge in county-level vote shares.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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