Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin
David Crowley 100.0%
Missy Hughes <1%
Sara Rodriguez <1%
Kelda Roys <1%
$3,441,581 Vol.
$3,441,581 Vol.
11 ago 2026
David Crowley
$1,407,523 Vol.
Sim
Missy Hughes
$12,261 Vol.
Não
Sara Rodriguez
$53,484 Vol.
Não
Kelda Roys
$17,711 Vol.
Não
Joel Brennan
$16,322 Vol.
Não
Chris Larson
$14,740 Vol.
Não
Mandela Barnes
$48,661 Vol.
Não
Francesca Hong
$1,835,669 Vol.
Não
Brett Hulsey
$6,833 Vol.
Não
Zachary Roper
$6,731 Vol.
Não
Tim Jacobson
$6,521 Vol.
Não
Melissa Agard
$7,313 Vol.
Não
Tom Nelson
$7,812 Vol.
Não
David Crowley 100.0%
Missy Hughes <1%
Sara Rodriguez <1%
Kelda Roys <1%
$3,441,581 Vol.
$3,441,581 Vol.
11 ago 2026
David Crowley
$1,407,523 Vol.
Sim
Missy Hughes
$12,261 Vol.
Não
Sara Rodriguez
$53,484 Vol.
Não
Kelda Roys
$17,711 Vol.
Não
Joel Brennan
$16,322 Vol.
Não
Chris Larson
$14,740 Vol.
Não
Mandela Barnes
$48,661 Vol.
Não
Francesca Hong
$1,835,669 Vol.
Não
Brett Hulsey
$6,833 Vol.
Não
Zachary Roper
$6,731 Vol.
Não
Tim Jacobson
$6,521 Vol.
Não
Melissa Agard
$7,313 Vol.
Não
Tom Nelson
$7,812 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor in the August 11, 2026 primary through a narrow statewide victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong, with results showing roughly 39.8% to 39.3%. As Milwaukee County executive, Crowley benefited from late-cycle consolidation of establishment support, including an endorsement from outgoing Gov. Tony Evers, substantial outside spending, and positioning as the candidate best equipped for the general election against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Earlier dropouts by figures such as Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez further concentrated resources and voter attention. With the primary concluded and results certified in his favor, trader consensus reflects the confirmed vote totals. Remaining uncertainty centers on any protracted canvassing disputes or legal challenges that could delay formal resolution, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor in the August 11, 2026 primary through a narrow statewide victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong, with results showing roughly 39.8% to 39.3%. As Milwaukee County executive, Crowley benefited from late-cycle consolidation of establishment support, including an endorsement from outgoing Gov. Tony Evers, substantial outside spending, and positioning as the candidate best equipped for the general election against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Earlier dropouts by figures such as Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez further concentrated resources and voter attention. With the primary concluded and results certified in his favor, trader consensus reflects the confirmed vote totals. Remaining uncertainty centers on any protracted canvassing disputes or legal challenges that could delay formal resolution, though no such developments have emerged.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Aug 11 2026
Francesca Hong wins Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary
Francesca Hong plunges to 60%36%
Francesca Hong emerged as the winner of the Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor, solidifying her position as the party's nominee and marking a historic moment as a democratic socialist and first Asian American woman nominee.
Aug 11 2026
David Crowley wins Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor
David Crowley surges to 88%86%
On primary election day, Crowley surged in the final count, overtaking Francesca Hong and winning the Democratic nomination, reflected by a sharp price increase to 88%.
Jul 30 2026
Mandela Barnes drops out of Wisconsin Democratic governor primary
Mandela Barnes drops to 0%13%
Mandela Barnes, former lieutenant governor and early front-runner, withdrew from the race citing Francesca Hong's insurmountable lead, which cleared the path for Hong and reshaped the primary dynamics.
Jul 29 2026
Francesca Hong surges in Democratic primary polls
Francesca Hong jumps to 38%8%
State Representative Francesca Hong surged in polls, leading the Democratic primary with strong progressive support, challenging establishment candidates and shaping the race dynamics.
Jul 28 2026
Mandela Barnes drops out of Wisconsin governor race
Mandela Barnes drops to 1%12%
Barnes exited the race citing insurmountable polling deficits, which shifted support and market prices away from him, effectively ending his chances.
Jul 18 2026
David Crowley reenters Wisconsin governor race with Gov. Evers' endorsement
David Crowley jumps to 8%5%
Following Rodriguez's withdrawal, David Crowley reentered the Democratic primary and received the endorsement of outgoing Governor Tony Evers, significantly boosting his campaign momentum.
Jul 17 2026
Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez drops out of Wisconsin governor race amid campaign finance issues
Sara Rodriguez plunges to 0%50%
Sara Rodriguez ended her campaign due to financial discrepancies and management issues, causing a major shakeup in the Democratic primary and leading to David Crowley reentering the race.
Jul 17 2026
Sara Rodriguez drops out of Wisconsin governor primary
Sara Rodriguez dips to 0%1%
Sara Rodriguez ended her campaign citing financial reporting issues, causing a major shakeup in the Democratic primary and opening the door for David Crowley to reenter the race.
Jul 17 2026
David Crowley reenters Wisconsin governor race with Governor Evers' endorsement
David Crowley surges to 41%41%
Following Sara Rodriguez's withdrawal, David Crowley reentered the Democratic primary, gaining a significant boost with Governor Tony Evers' endorsement, which increased his market price substantially.
Jul 17 2026
David Crowley re-enters Wisconsin governor race with Governor Evers' endorsement
David Crowley surges to 24%24%
Crowley relaunched his campaign and received a key endorsement from Governor Tony Evers, leading to a significant rebound in his market price and renewed competitiveness in the primary.
Jul 13 2026
Sara Rodriguez fires campaign manager amid financial mismanagement
Sara Rodriguez drops to 1%7%
Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez fired her campaign manager after discovering significant financial discrepancies, triggering a crisis that undermined her campaign's viability.
Jul 8 2026
David Crowley suspends campaign, endorses Sara Rodriguez
David Crowley suspended his gubernatorial campaign and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, signaling a consolidation of establishment support and affecting market perceptions of the race.
Jul 8 2026
Milwaukee County Exec David Crowley withdraws from governor's race
David Crowley drops to 1%9%
David Crowley suspended his campaign, causing his market price to drop sharply as his chances of winning diminished temporarily.
Jun 22 2026
Democrat Missy Hughes drops out of Wisconsin governor race, endorses Sara Rodriguez
Missy Hughes drops to 0%5%
Missy Hughes withdrew from the Democratic primary and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, consolidating some support behind Rodriguez and impacting the market prices by reducing Hughes' chances to zero.
Jun 22 2026
Missy Hughes suspends campaign, endorses Sara Rodriguez
Missy Hughes dropped out of the Democratic primary and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, consolidating establishment support behind Rodriguez and impacting the dynamics of the race.
Jun 22 2026
Democrat Missy Hughes drops out of Wisconsin governor race, endorses Sara Rodriguez
Sara Rodriguez plunges to 0%50%
Missy Hughes withdrew from the Democratic primary and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, consolidating some support behind Rodriguez and impacting her market price.
Jun 22 2026
Missy Hughes suspends campaign and endorses Sara Rodriguez
Missy Hughes plunges to 0%50%
Missy Hughes suspended her campaign and endorsed Lt. Governor Sara Rodriguez, consolidating moderate support behind Rodriguez and impacting the market prices by reducing Hughes' chances to zero.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor in the August 11, 2026 primary through a narrow statewide victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong, with results showing roughly 39.8% to 39.3%. As Milwaukee County executive, Crowley benefited from late-cycle consolidation of establishment support, including an endorsement from outgoing Gov. Tony Evers, substantial outside spending, and positioning as the candidate best equipped for the general election against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Earlier dropouts by figures such as Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez further concentrated resources and voter attention. With the primary concluded and results certified in his favor, trader consensus reflects the confirmed vote totals. Remaining uncertainty centers on any protracted canvassing disputes or legal challenges that could delay formal resolution, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor in the August 11, 2026 primary through a narrow statewide victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong, with results showing roughly 39.8% to 39.3%. As Milwaukee County executive, Crowley benefited from late-cycle consolidation of establishment support, including an endorsement from outgoing Gov. Tony Evers, substantial outside spending, and positioning as the candidate best equipped for the general election against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Earlier dropouts by figures such as Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez further concentrated resources and voter attention. With the primary concluded and results certified in his favor, trader consensus reflects the confirmed vote totals. Remaining uncertainty centers on any protracted canvassing disputes or legal challenges that could delay formal resolution, though no such developments have emerged.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Aug 11 2026
Francesca Hong wins Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary
Francesca Hong plunges to 60%36%
Francesca Hong emerged as the winner of the Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor, solidifying her position as the party's nominee and marking a historic moment as a democratic socialist and first Asian American woman nominee.
Aug 11 2026
David Crowley wins Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor
David Crowley surges to 88%86%
On primary election day, Crowley surged in the final count, overtaking Francesca Hong and winning the Democratic nomination, reflected by a sharp price increase to 88%.
Jul 30 2026
Mandela Barnes drops out of Wisconsin Democratic governor primary
Mandela Barnes drops to 0%13%
Mandela Barnes, former lieutenant governor and early front-runner, withdrew from the race citing Francesca Hong's insurmountable lead, which cleared the path for Hong and reshaped the primary dynamics.
Jul 29 2026
Francesca Hong surges in Democratic primary polls
Francesca Hong jumps to 38%8%
State Representative Francesca Hong surged in polls, leading the Democratic primary with strong progressive support, challenging establishment candidates and shaping the race dynamics.
Jul 28 2026
Mandela Barnes drops out of Wisconsin governor race
Mandela Barnes drops to 1%12%
Barnes exited the race citing insurmountable polling deficits, which shifted support and market prices away from him, effectively ending his chances.
Jul 18 2026
David Crowley reenters Wisconsin governor race with Gov. Evers' endorsement
David Crowley jumps to 8%5%
Following Rodriguez's withdrawal, David Crowley reentered the Democratic primary and received the endorsement of outgoing Governor Tony Evers, significantly boosting his campaign momentum.
Jul 17 2026
Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez drops out of Wisconsin governor race amid campaign finance issues
Sara Rodriguez plunges to 0%50%
Sara Rodriguez ended her campaign due to financial discrepancies and management issues, causing a major shakeup in the Democratic primary and leading to David Crowley reentering the race.
Jul 17 2026
Sara Rodriguez drops out of Wisconsin governor primary
Sara Rodriguez dips to 0%1%
Sara Rodriguez ended her campaign citing financial reporting issues, causing a major shakeup in the Democratic primary and opening the door for David Crowley to reenter the race.
Jul 17 2026
David Crowley reenters Wisconsin governor race with Governor Evers' endorsement
David Crowley surges to 41%41%
Following Sara Rodriguez's withdrawal, David Crowley reentered the Democratic primary, gaining a significant boost with Governor Tony Evers' endorsement, which increased his market price substantially.
Jul 17 2026
David Crowley re-enters Wisconsin governor race with Governor Evers' endorsement
David Crowley surges to 24%24%
Crowley relaunched his campaign and received a key endorsement from Governor Tony Evers, leading to a significant rebound in his market price and renewed competitiveness in the primary.
Jul 13 2026
Sara Rodriguez fires campaign manager amid financial mismanagement
Sara Rodriguez drops to 1%7%
Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez fired her campaign manager after discovering significant financial discrepancies, triggering a crisis that undermined her campaign's viability.
Jul 8 2026
David Crowley suspends campaign, endorses Sara Rodriguez
David Crowley suspended his gubernatorial campaign and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, signaling a consolidation of establishment support and affecting market perceptions of the race.
Jul 8 2026
Milwaukee County Exec David Crowley withdraws from governor's race
David Crowley drops to 1%9%
David Crowley suspended his campaign, causing his market price to drop sharply as his chances of winning diminished temporarily.
Jun 22 2026
Democrat Missy Hughes drops out of Wisconsin governor race, endorses Sara Rodriguez
Missy Hughes drops to 0%5%
Missy Hughes withdrew from the Democratic primary and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, consolidating some support behind Rodriguez and impacting the market prices by reducing Hughes' chances to zero.
Jun 22 2026
Missy Hughes suspends campaign, endorses Sara Rodriguez
Missy Hughes dropped out of the Democratic primary and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, consolidating establishment support behind Rodriguez and impacting the dynamics of the race.
Jun 22 2026
Democrat Missy Hughes drops out of Wisconsin governor race, endorses Sara Rodriguez
Sara Rodriguez plunges to 0%50%
Missy Hughes withdrew from the Democratic primary and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, consolidating some support behind Rodriguez and impacting her market price.
Jun 22 2026
Missy Hughes suspends campaign and endorses Sara Rodriguez
Missy Hughes plunges to 0%50%
Missy Hughes suspended her campaign and endorsed Lt. Governor Sara Rodriguez, consolidating moderate support behind Rodriguez and impacting the market prices by reducing Hughes' chances to zero.
"Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Crowley" at 100%, followed by "Missy Hughes" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin" has generated $3.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin" is "David Crowley" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Missy Hughes" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
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Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $3.4 million traded on “Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
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On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "David Crowley" in the "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "David Crowley" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.
The "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Wisconsin" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.
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