Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 14-16% support, with its strongest performance concentrated in the Quebec City region where it often leads or ties local competitors. This geographic clustering, combined with first-past-the-post dynamics and competition from the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec in francophone ridings, creates high uncertainty over seat conversion efficiency. Projections from models such as 338Canada and others range from single digits to the mid-teens, reflecting sensitivity to small shifts in turnout or second preferences ahead of the October 5 vote. Upcoming leaders’ debates and final campaign weeks could further influence these outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado8-10 29%
11-13 21%
5-7 19%
17+ 12.7%
NOVO
NOVO
5 out 2026
<5
4%
5-7
14%
8-10
29%
11-13
21%
14-16
6%
17+
15%
8-10 29%
11-13 21%
5-7 19%
17+ 12.7%
NOVO
NOVO
5 out 2026
<5
$1,969 Vol.
4%
5-7
$784 Vol.
14%
8-10
$1,323 Vol.
29%
11-13
$1,419 Vol.
21%
14-16
$995 Vol.
6%
17+
$977 Vol.
15%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 14-16% support, with its strongest performance concentrated in the Quebec City region where it often leads or ties local competitors. This geographic clustering, combined with first-past-the-post dynamics and competition from the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec in francophone ridings, creates high uncertainty over seat conversion efficiency. Projections from models such as 338Canada and others range from single digits to the mid-teens, reflecting sensitivity to small shifts in turnout or second preferences ahead of the October 5 vote. Upcoming leaders’ debates and final campaign weeks could further influence these outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
Volume
$7,468Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 14-16% support, with its strongest performance concentrated in the Quebec City region where it often leads or ties local competitors. This geographic clustering, combined with first-past-the-post dynamics and competition from the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec in francophone ridings, creates high uncertainty over seat conversion efficiency. Projections from models such as 338Canada and others range from single digits to the mid-teens, reflecting sensitivity to small shifts in turnout or second preferences ahead of the October 5 vote. Upcoming leaders’ debates and final campaign weeks could further influence these outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$7,468Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 14-16% support, with its strongest performance concentrated in the Quebec City region where it often leads or ties local competitors. This geographic clustering, combined with first-past-the-post dynamics and competition from the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec in francophone ridings, creates high uncertainty over seat conversion efficiency. Projections from models such as 338Canada and others range from single digits to the mid-teens, reflecting sensitivity to small shifts in turnout or second preferences ahead of the October 5 vote. Upcoming leaders’ debates and final campaign weeks could further influence these outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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