**Traders assign an 85.5% implied probability to “No” on a Zehut-Amcha Yisrael joint list because recent developments show the two parties operating independently ahead of the September 8, 2026, candidate-list deadline for the October 27 Knesset election.** Moshe Feiglin’s Zehut, allied since May with Michael Ben-Ari, polls at 1.3–1.7% and remains below the threshold. Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael, launched August 25 with a slate including Yoseph Haddad, polls at 4–8 seats and targets overlapping right-wing voters as a separate entity. Feiglin voiced interest in talks with Winter before denying them, despite a published recording, while Prime Minister Netanyahu has urged smaller right-wing parties to merge or exit. The absence of any announced alliance or list-submission signals, combined with Amcha’s independent polling momentum, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
19% chance
NOVO
NOVO
7 set 2026
Sim
19% chance
NOVO
NOVO
7 set 2026
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**Traders assign an 85.5% implied probability to “No” on a Zehut-Amcha Yisrael joint list because recent developments show the two parties operating independently ahead of the September 8, 2026, candidate-list deadline for the October 27 Knesset election.** Moshe Feiglin’s Zehut, allied since May with Michael Ben-Ari, polls at 1.3–1.7% and remains below the threshold. Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael, launched August 25 with a slate including Yoseph Haddad, polls at 4–8 seats and targets overlapping right-wing voters as a separate entity. Feiglin voiced interest in talks with Winter before denying them, despite a published recording, while Prime Minister Netanyahu has urged smaller right-wing parties to merge or exit. The absence of any announced alliance or list-submission signals, combined with Amcha’s independent polling momentum, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the market.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
7 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**Traders assign an 85.5% implied probability to “No” on a Zehut-Amcha Yisrael joint list because recent developments show the two parties operating independently ahead of the September 8, 2026, candidate-list deadline for the October 27 Knesset election.** Moshe Feiglin’s Zehut, allied since May with Michael Ben-Ari, polls at 1.3–1.7% and remains below the threshold. Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael, launched August 25 with a slate including Yoseph Haddad, polls at 4–8 seats and targets overlapping right-wing voters as a separate entity. Feiglin voiced interest in talks with Winter before denying them, despite a published recording, while Prime Minister Netanyahu has urged smaller right-wing parties to merge or exit. The absence of any announced alliance or list-submission signals, combined with Amcha’s independent polling momentum, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the market.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Volume
$0Data de Término
7 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign an 85.5% implied probability to “No” on a Zehut-Amcha Yisrael joint list because recent developments show the two parties operating independently ahead of the September 8, 2026, candidate-list deadline for the October 27 Knesset election.** Moshe Feiglin’s Zehut, allied since May with Michael Ben-Ari, polls at 1.3–1.7% and remains below the threshold. Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael, launched August 25 with a slate including Yoseph Haddad, polls at 4–8 seats and targets overlapping right-wing voters as a separate entity. Feiglin voiced interest in talks with Winter before denying them, despite a published recording, while Prime Minister Netanyahu has urged smaller right-wing parties to merge or exit. The absence of any announced alliance or list-submission signals, combined with Amcha’s independent polling momentum, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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