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icon for Aparição pública de Mojtaba Khamenei por...?

Aparição pública de Mojtaba Khamenei por...?

icon for Aparição pública de Mojtaba Khamenei por...?

Aparição pública de Mojtaba Khamenei por...?

$6,645,334 Vol.

31 ago 2026
Polymarket

$6,645,334 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de agosto

$402,401 Vol.

6%

30 de setembro

$253,932 Vol.

15%

31 de dezembro

$402,623 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei, who assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 following his father's death amid U.S.-Israeli strikes, has maintained an exceptionally low public profile since taking office. Iranian state media and officials have released only written statements, office announcements, or undated video footage to affirm his health and presence, while he has avoided in-person events or live addresses. Recent releases of short clips in August 2026 countered Israeli reports of critical condition or injury, yet no verified live appearances have occurred. Security threats, ongoing regional tensions, and the regime's controlled information approach continue to shape this pattern. Market pricing reflects trader assessments of these barriers, with modest probabilities attached to later 2026 dates amid potential shifts from diplomatic or internal developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Volume
$6,645,334
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei, who assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 following his father's death amid U.S.-Israeli strikes, has maintained an exceptionally low public profile since taking office. Iranian state media and officials have released only written statements, office announcements, or undated video footage to affirm his health and presence, while he has avoided in-person events or live addresses. Recent releases of short clips in August 2026 countered Israeli reports of critical condition or injury, yet no verified live appearances have occurred. Security threats, ongoing regional tensions, and the regime's controlled information approach continue to shape this pattern. Market pricing reflects trader assessments of these barriers, with modest probabilities attached to later 2026 dates amid potential shifts from diplomatic or internal developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Volume
$6,645,334
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Aparição pública de Mojtaba Khamenei por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 26%, followed by "30 de setembro" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Aparição pública de Mojtaba Khamenei por...?" has generated $6.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Aparição pública de Mojtaba Khamenei por...?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Aparição pública de Mojtaba Khamenei por...?" is "31 de dezembro" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de setembro" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Aparição pública de Mojtaba Khamenei por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.