Israeli officials have signaled that renewed large-scale ground operations in Gaza remain likely amid a fraying ceasefire, citing Hamas's refusal to disarm and the International Stabilization Force's limited effectiveness. In the past week, Israeli forces continued incremental advances that have brought control over roughly 59 percent of the territory, while conducting targeted airstrikes including one on May 16 that eliminated a senior Hamas military commander in Gaza City. Diplomatic efforts tied to U.S. proposals have stalled, prompting the closure of the Civil-Military Coordination Center. These developments sustain trader focus on whether current ground activity escalates into a full offensive before any resolution deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$554,710 Vol.
30 de junho
16%
31 de dezembro
36%
$554,710 Vol.
30 de junho
16%
31 de dezembro
36%
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli officials have signaled that renewed large-scale ground operations in Gaza remain likely amid a fraying ceasefire, citing Hamas's refusal to disarm and the International Stabilization Force's limited effectiveness. In the past week, Israeli forces continued incremental advances that have brought control over roughly 59 percent of the territory, while conducting targeted airstrikes including one on May 16 that eliminated a senior Hamas military commander in Gaza City. Diplomatic efforts tied to U.S. proposals have stalled, prompting the closure of the Civil-Military Coordination Center. These developments sustain trader focus on whether current ground activity escalates into a full offensive before any resolution deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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