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icon for Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?

Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?

icon for Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?

Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?

dez 31

dez 31

$567,097 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$567,097 Vol.

Polymarket

Somalilândia

$61,634 Vol.

37%

Azerbaijão

$43,147 Vol.

19%

Líbano

$58,017 Vol.

17%

Kuwait

$22,614 Vol.

14%

Omã

$145,328 Vol.

13%

Arábia Saudita

$89,001 Vol.

12%

Síria

$147,356 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Somaliland leads trader consensus at 37% implied probability after Israel's December 2025 recognition prompted a pledge to formally join the Abraham Accords, though no signing has occurred amid global non-recognition of the breakaway republic. Saudi Arabia trails at 17%, buoyed by Trump administration diplomacy tying normalization to Gaza stability and shared Iran concerns, but Riyadh's May 15 reports of a non-aggression pact with Tehran signal reluctance without Palestinian statehood progress. Azerbaijan (19%) and Syria (14%) reflect energy security talks and post-Assad overtures, yet Golan disputes hinder advancement. No major developments in the past 30 days; UAE's Iron Dome deployment underscores deepening Accords ties, with potential US-Saudi summits key before the December 31, 2026 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$567,097
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Somaliland leads trader consensus at 37% implied probability after Israel's December 2025 recognition prompted a pledge to formally join the Abraham Accords, though no signing has occurred amid global non-recognition of the breakaway republic. Saudi Arabia trails at 17%, buoyed by Trump administration diplomacy tying normalization to Gaza stability and shared Iran concerns, but Riyadh's May 15 reports of a non-aggression pact with Tehran signal reluctance without Palestinian statehood progress. Azerbaijan (19%) and Syria (14%) reflect energy security talks and post-Assad overtures, yet Golan disputes hinder advancement. No major developments in the past 30 days; UAE's Iron Dome deployment underscores deepening Accords ties, with potential US-Saudi summits key before the December 31, 2026 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$567,097
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Somalilândia" at 37%, followed by "Azerbaijão" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" has generated $567.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" is "Somalilândia" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Azerbaijão" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.