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icon for Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?

Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?

icon for Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?

Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?

Sim

34% chance
Polymarket

$113,038 Vol.

Sim

34% chance
Polymarket

$113,038 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.U.S. diplomatic initiatives under the current administration have produced limited recent momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords, with Kazakhstan’s formal accession in late 2025 and Somaliland’s recognition representing the primary developments since mid-2025. Saudi Arabia continues to tie any normalization to concrete progress on Palestinian statehood and a Gaza ceasefire, a position reiterated in bilateral talks through early 2026. Parallel outreach to Syria, Lebanon, Indonesia, and Central Asian states has yielded statements of interest but no completed agreements amid ongoing regional frictions, including UAE-Saudi tensions over energy policy. Traders appear to view these structural barriers and the absence of imminent breakthroughs in the remaining months of 2026 as outweighing administration pledges, resulting in a narrow majority consensus against additional accessions before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$113,038
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.U.S. diplomatic initiatives under the current administration have produced limited recent momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords, with Kazakhstan’s formal accession in late 2025 and Somaliland’s recognition representing the primary developments since mid-2025. Saudi Arabia continues to tie any normalization to concrete progress on Palestinian statehood and a Gaza ceasefire, a position reiterated in bilateral talks through early 2026. Parallel outreach to Syria, Lebanon, Indonesia, and Central Asian states has yielded statements of interest but no completed agreements amid ongoing regional frictions, including UAE-Saudi tensions over energy policy. Traders appear to view these structural barriers and the absence of imminent breakthroughs in the remaining months of 2026 as outweighing administration pledges, resulting in a narrow majority consensus against additional accessions before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$113,038
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Um novo país aderirá aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" has generated $113K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" is "Um novo país aderirá aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.