Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain stability in Ukraine's government, with "No" coup attempt by June 30 priced at 96.5%, driven by the absence of credible plots or internal unrest in recent weeks amid ongoing martial law extensions that suspend elections and consolidate President Zelenskyy's authority. The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) has effectively neutralized past pro-Russian schemes, such as the 2024 foiled plot, while military loyalty holds amid battlefield focus and Zelenskyy's 67% approval rating as of April 2026. No major defections, high-level scandals, or mobilization revolts have emerged since ceasefire talks faltered in early May. Scenarios that could shift odds include sudden frontline collapses prompting mutiny, elite betrayals, or escalated Russian hybrid operations, though structural wartime controls pose significant barriers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$12,220 Vol.
$12,220 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sim
$12,220 Vol.
$12,220 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain stability in Ukraine's government, with "No" coup attempt by June 30 priced at 96.5%, driven by the absence of credible plots or internal unrest in recent weeks amid ongoing martial law extensions that suspend elections and consolidate President Zelenskyy's authority. The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) has effectively neutralized past pro-Russian schemes, such as the 2024 foiled plot, while military loyalty holds amid battlefield focus and Zelenskyy's 67% approval rating as of April 2026. No major defections, high-level scandals, or mobilization revolts have emerged since ceasefire talks faltered in early May. Scenarios that could shift odds include sudden frontline collapses prompting mutiny, elite betrayals, or escalated Russian hybrid operations, though structural wartime controls pose significant barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Volume
$12,220Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain stability in Ukraine's government, with "No" coup attempt by June 30 priced at 96.5%, driven by the absence of credible plots or internal unrest in recent weeks amid ongoing martial law extensions that suspend elections and consolidate President Zelenskyy's authority. The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) has effectively neutralized past pro-Russian schemes, such as the 2024 foiled plot, while military loyalty holds amid battlefield focus and Zelenskyy's 67% approval rating as of April 2026. No major defections, high-level scandals, or mobilization revolts have emerged since ceasefire talks faltered in early May. Scenarios that could shift odds include sudden frontline collapses prompting mutiny, elite betrayals, or escalated Russian hybrid operations, though structural wartime controls pose significant barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$12,220Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain stability in Ukraine's government, with "No" coup attempt by June 30 priced at 96.5%, driven by the absence of credible plots or internal unrest in recent weeks amid ongoing martial law extensions that suspend elections and consolidate President Zelenskyy's authority. The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) has effectively neutralized past pro-Russian schemes, such as the 2024 foiled plot, while military loyalty holds amid battlefield focus and Zelenskyy's 67% approval rating as of April 2026. No major defections, high-level scandals, or mobilization revolts have emerged since ceasefire talks faltered in early May. Scenarios that could shift odds include sudden frontline collapses prompting mutiny, elite betrayals, or escalated Russian hybrid operations, though structural wartime controls pose significant barriers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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