Xi Jinping's repeated high-level purges of senior PLA officers, including the early 2026 investigations into figures such as General Zhang Youxia, have reinforced centralized control over the Chinese Communist Party and military without triggering organized resistance. Official channels quickly dismissed related rumors, and subsequent months have shown continued institutional stability, with no visible factional challenges or public signs of elite division. Traders' strong consensus on no coup attempt reflects these structural factors: the PLA's established obedience to Party leadership, extensive internal security apparatus, and absence of mechanisms for leadership contests. While a sudden health event for top officials or an acute economic shock could theoretically create openings, the system's design makes any such attempt before the end of 2026 highly improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
4% chance
$153,752 Vol.
$153,752 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
4% chance
$153,752 Vol.
$153,752 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's repeated high-level purges of senior PLA officers, including the early 2026 investigations into figures such as General Zhang Youxia, have reinforced centralized control over the Chinese Communist Party and military without triggering organized resistance. Official channels quickly dismissed related rumors, and subsequent months have shown continued institutional stability, with no visible factional challenges or public signs of elite division. Traders' strong consensus on no coup attempt reflects these structural factors: the PLA's established obedience to Party leadership, extensive internal security apparatus, and absence of mechanisms for leadership contests. While a sudden health event for top officials or an acute economic shock could theoretically create openings, the system's design makes any such attempt before the end of 2026 highly improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$153,752Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's repeated high-level purges of senior PLA officers, including the early 2026 investigations into figures such as General Zhang Youxia, have reinforced centralized control over the Chinese Communist Party and military without triggering organized resistance. Official channels quickly dismissed related rumors, and subsequent months have shown continued institutional stability, with no visible factional challenges or public signs of elite division. Traders' strong consensus on no coup attempt reflects these structural factors: the PLA's established obedience to Party leadership, extensive internal security apparatus, and absence of mechanisms for leadership contests. While a sudden health event for top officials or an acute economic shock could theoretically create openings, the system's design makes any such attempt before the end of 2026 highly improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$153,752Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's repeated high-level purges of senior PLA officers, including the early 2026 investigations into figures such as General Zhang Youxia, have reinforced centralized control over the Chinese Communist Party and military without triggering organized resistance. Official channels quickly dismissed related rumors, and subsequent months have shown continued institutional stability, with no visible factional challenges or public signs of elite division. Traders' strong consensus on no coup attempt reflects these structural factors: the PLA's established obedience to Party leadership, extensive internal security apparatus, and absence of mechanisms for leadership contests. While a sudden health event for top officials or an acute economic shock could theoretically create openings, the system's design makes any such attempt before the end of 2026 highly improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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