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icon for País da UE/OTAN anuncia força de paz na Ucrânia até...?

País da UE/OTAN anuncia força de paz na Ucrânia até...?

icon for País da UE/OTAN anuncia força de paz na Ucrânia até...?

País da UE/OTAN anuncia força de paz na Ucrânia até...?

$461,830 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$461,830 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de dezembro

$64,696 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.European leaders, particularly the UK and France, have advanced plans for a multinational "coalition of the willing" reassurance force in Ukraine as a post-ceasefire security guarantee, formalized in a January 2026 Paris Declaration of Intent that includes troop deployments, military hubs, and training support once fighting ends. Commitments from over two dozen countries remain conditional on a comprehensive peace agreement between Kyiv and Moscow, with Russia repeatedly rejecting any NATO or EU member participation as unacceptable and vowing to treat such forces as targets. Preparations, including joint exercises and headquarters planning, continue amid stalled negotiations, while broader EU security discussions emphasize European-led contributions backed by U.S. enablers. Trader sentiment reflects the low likelihood of unilateral announcements absent a breakthrough in talks, alongside structural barriers like Russian veto power over deployments and the absence of active ceasefire frameworks. Scheduled diplomatic summits or renewed U.S. mediation could alter timelines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy.

Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$461,830
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 6, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.European leaders, particularly the UK and France, have advanced plans for a multinational "coalition of the willing" reassurance force in Ukraine as a post-ceasefire security guarantee, formalized in a January 2026 Paris Declaration of Intent that includes troop deployments, military hubs, and training support once fighting ends. Commitments from over two dozen countries remain conditional on a comprehensive peace agreement between Kyiv and Moscow, with Russia repeatedly rejecting any NATO or EU member participation as unacceptable and vowing to treat such forces as targets. Preparations, including joint exercises and headquarters planning, continue amid stalled negotiations, while broader EU security discussions emphasize European-led contributions backed by U.S. enablers. Trader sentiment reflects the low likelihood of unilateral announcements absent a breakthrough in talks, alongside structural barriers like Russian veto power over deployments and the absence of active ceasefire frameworks. Scheduled diplomatic summits or renewed U.S. mediation could alter timelines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy.

Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$461,830
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 6, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"País da UE/OTAN anuncia força de paz na Ucrânia até...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 5%, followed by "30 de junho" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 5¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 5% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "País da UE/OTAN anuncia força de paz na Ucrânia até...?" has generated $461.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 28, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "País da UE/OTAN anuncia força de paz na Ucrânia até...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "País da UE/OTAN anuncia força de paz na Ucrânia até...?" is "31 de dezembro" at just 5%, with "30 de junho" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "País da UE/OTAN anuncia força de paz na Ucrânia até...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.