Recent US-Iran diplomacy centers on a fragile ceasefire that began in early April 2026 after joint US-Israeli strikes triggered the conflict in late February. President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that hostilities had terminated under the War Powers Resolution, avoiding any formal authorization vote while maintaining a naval presence and reviewing Iranian proposals for sanctions relief, nuclear limits, and force withdrawals. Pakistan-mediated talks continue amid occasional Strait of Hormuz clashes, with both sides exchanging written offers but no breakthrough on core demands. These developments have kept formal congressional declarations of war off the immediate agenda, directing trader focus toward whether stalled negotiations or renewed escalation could force such a step before any market resolution deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOs EUA declararão oficialmente guerra ao Irã até...?
Os EUA declararão oficialmente guerra ao Irã até...?
$7,523,452 Vol.
31 dez 2026
31 de dezembro
7%
$7,523,452 Vol.
31 de dezembro
$550,818 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Recent US-Iran diplomacy centers on a fragile ceasefire that began in early April 2026 after joint US-Israeli strikes triggered the conflict in late February. President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that hostilities had terminated under the War Powers Resolution, avoiding any formal authorization vote while maintaining a naval presence and reviewing Iranian proposals for sanctions relief, nuclear limits, and force withdrawals. Pakistan-mediated talks continue amid occasional Strait of Hormuz clashes, with both sides exchanging written offers but no breakthrough on core demands. These developments have kept formal congressional declarations of war off the immediate agenda, directing trader focus toward whether stalled negotiations or renewed escalation could force such a step before any market resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volume
$7,523,452Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Recent US-Iran diplomacy centers on a fragile ceasefire that began in early April 2026 after joint US-Israeli strikes triggered the conflict in late February. President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that hostilities had terminated under the War Powers Resolution, avoiding any formal authorization vote while maintaining a naval presence and reviewing Iranian proposals for sanctions relief, nuclear limits, and force withdrawals. Pakistan-mediated talks continue amid occasional Strait of Hormuz clashes, with both sides exchanging written offers but no breakthrough on core demands. These developments have kept formal congressional declarations of war off the immediate agenda, directing trader focus toward whether stalled negotiations or renewed escalation could force such a step before any market resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,523,452Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran diplomacy centers on a fragile ceasefire that began in early April 2026 after joint US-Israeli strikes triggered the conflict in late February. President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that hostilities had terminated under the War Powers Resolution, avoiding any formal authorization vote while maintaining a naval presence and reviewing Iranian proposals for sanctions relief, nuclear limits, and force withdrawals. Pakistan-mediated talks continue amid occasional Strait of Hormuz clashes, with both sides exchanging written offers but no breakthrough on core demands. These developments have kept formal congressional declarations of war off the immediate agenda, directing trader focus toward whether stalled negotiations or renewed escalation could force such a step before any market resolution deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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