Ongoing disputes over control of the Strait of Hormuz continue to shape US-Iran dynamics, with Tehran asserting management authority and Washington maintaining a naval blockade on Iranian ports following the collapse of earlier ceasefires and the June 2026 memorandum. Intermediary messaging and Oman-mediated talks on shipping routes have produced limited progress amid renewed attacks on vessels and competing claims of dominance by both sides. US military operations, including strikes and interdictions, have proceeded without congressional authorization for formal hostilities, consistent with patterns in prior regional engagements. Diplomatic channels remain active but face significant hurdles tied to sanctions, asset releases, and security guarantees, with no scheduled votes or announcements indicating imminent escalation to a declared state of war.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOs EUA declararão oficialmente guerra ao Irã até...?
Os EUA declararão oficialmente guerra ao Irã até...?
$7,763,872 Vol.
31 dez 2026
31 de dezembro
3%
$7,763,872 Vol.
31 de dezembro
$791,238 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing disputes over control of the Strait of Hormuz continue to shape US-Iran dynamics, with Tehran asserting management authority and Washington maintaining a naval blockade on Iranian ports following the collapse of earlier ceasefires and the June 2026 memorandum. Intermediary messaging and Oman-mediated talks on shipping routes have produced limited progress amid renewed attacks on vessels and competing claims of dominance by both sides. US military operations, including strikes and interdictions, have proceeded without congressional authorization for formal hostilities, consistent with patterns in prior regional engagements. Diplomatic channels remain active but face significant hurdles tied to sanctions, asset releases, and security guarantees, with no scheduled votes or announcements indicating imminent escalation to a declared state of war.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volume
$7,763,872Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing disputes over control of the Strait of Hormuz continue to shape US-Iran dynamics, with Tehran asserting management authority and Washington maintaining a naval blockade on Iranian ports following the collapse of earlier ceasefires and the June 2026 memorandum. Intermediary messaging and Oman-mediated talks on shipping routes have produced limited progress amid renewed attacks on vessels and competing claims of dominance by both sides. US military operations, including strikes and interdictions, have proceeded without congressional authorization for formal hostilities, consistent with patterns in prior regional engagements. Diplomatic channels remain active but face significant hurdles tied to sanctions, asset releases, and security guarantees, with no scheduled votes or announcements indicating imminent escalation to a declared state of war.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,763,872Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing disputes over control of the Strait of Hormuz continue to shape US-Iran dynamics, with Tehran asserting management authority and Washington maintaining a naval blockade on Iranian ports following the collapse of earlier ceasefires and the June 2026 memorandum. Intermediary messaging and Oman-mediated talks on shipping routes have produced limited progress amid renewed attacks on vessels and competing claims of dominance by both sides. US military operations, including strikes and interdictions, have proceeded without congressional authorization for formal hostilities, consistent with patterns in prior regional engagements. Diplomatic channels remain active but face significant hurdles tied to sanctions, asset releases, and security guarantees, with no scheduled votes or announcements indicating imminent escalation to a declared state of war.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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