**Trader sentiment for no new country joining the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, at 92% reflects the absence of active negotiations or breakthroughs that could produce a formal accession in the remaining timeframe.** Saudi Arabia remains the primary candidate discussed in diplomatic channels, yet Riyadh has consistently conditioned normalization on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood—a requirement Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government has rejected. Recent U.S. efforts, including President Trump’s linkage of a Saudi civil nuclear cooperation agreement to Abraham Accords membership (announced July 2026 and sent to Congress in August), have not altered this Saudi position. Other potential participants such as Syria, Qatar, or Oman show no verified progress toward signing by the deadline. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 accession was largely symbolic given preexisting ties, and subsequent diplomatic activity has focused on deepening existing relationships rather than new formal entries. With only two months left and entrenched political preconditions unresolved, the current pricing aligns with the limited window and structural barriers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
8% chance
NOVO
NOVO
31 out 2026
Sim
8% chance
NOVO
NOVO
31 out 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Trader sentiment for no new country joining the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, at 92% reflects the absence of active negotiations or breakthroughs that could produce a formal accession in the remaining timeframe.**
Saudi Arabia remains the primary candidate discussed in diplomatic channels, yet Riyadh has consistently conditioned normalization on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood—a requirement Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government has rejected. Recent U.S. efforts, including President Trump’s linkage of a Saudi civil nuclear cooperation agreement to Abraham Accords membership (announced July 2026 and sent to Congress in August), have not altered this Saudi position.
Other potential participants such as Syria, Qatar, or Oman show no verified progress toward signing by the deadline. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 accession was largely symbolic given preexisting ties, and subsequent diplomatic activity has focused on deepening existing relationships rather than new formal entries. With only two months left and entrenched political preconditions unresolved, the current pricing aligns with the limited window and structural barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Volume
$1,160Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Trader sentiment for no new country joining the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, at 92% reflects the absence of active negotiations or breakthroughs that could produce a formal accession in the remaining timeframe.**
Saudi Arabia remains the primary candidate discussed in diplomatic channels, yet Riyadh has consistently conditioned normalization on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood—a requirement Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government has rejected. Recent U.S. efforts, including President Trump’s linkage of a Saudi civil nuclear cooperation agreement to Abraham Accords membership (announced July 2026 and sent to Congress in August), have not altered this Saudi position.
Other potential participants such as Syria, Qatar, or Oman show no verified progress toward signing by the deadline. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 accession was largely symbolic given preexisting ties, and subsequent diplomatic activity has focused on deepening existing relationships rather than new formal entries. With only two months left and entrenched political preconditions unresolved, the current pricing aligns with the limited window and structural barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,160Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader sentiment for no new country joining the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, at 92% reflects the absence of active negotiations or breakthroughs that could produce a formal accession in the remaining timeframe.** Saudi Arabia remains the primary candidate discussed in diplomatic channels, yet Riyadh has consistently conditioned normalization on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood—a requirement Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government has rejected. Recent U.S. efforts, including President Trump’s linkage of a Saudi civil nuclear cooperation agreement to Abraham Accords membership (announced July 2026 and sent to Congress in August), have not altered this Saudi position. Other potential participants such as Syria, Qatar, or Oman show no verified progress toward signing by the deadline. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 accession was largely symbolic given preexisting ties, and subsequent diplomatic activity has focused on deepening existing relationships rather than new formal entries. With only two months left and entrenched political preconditions unresolved, the current pricing aligns with the limited window and structural barriers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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