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icon for Israel anexará o território da Cisjordânia antes de 2027?

Israel anexará o território da Cisjordânia antes de 2027?

icon for Israel anexará o território da Cisjordânia antes de 2027?

Israel anexará o território da Cisjordânia antes de 2027?

dez 31

dez 31

Sim

9% chance
Polymarket

$90,012 Vol.

Sim

9% chance
Polymarket

$90,012 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's government has pursued incremental administrative integration and settlement expansion in the West Bank through measures such as February 2026 cabinet decisions on land registration and transfer of civil powers from military to civilian authorities, widely described as advancing de facto control. Formal annexation—explicit extension of Israeli sovereignty and law—remains absent, constrained by consistent U.S. opposition under President Trump, international diplomatic pressure, and Netanyahu's coalition dynamics that favor phased bureaucratic steps over a declared sovereignty move before 2027. Recent July 2026 funding allocations for additional settlements reinforce this pattern of gradual integration without triggering the legal threshold for full annexation. Trader consensus at 91% for no formal action reflects these structural barriers and the preference for de facto outcomes that avoid immediate escalation risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$90,012
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's government has pursued incremental administrative integration and settlement expansion in the West Bank through measures such as February 2026 cabinet decisions on land registration and transfer of civil powers from military to civilian authorities, widely described as advancing de facto control. Formal annexation—explicit extension of Israeli sovereignty and law—remains absent, constrained by consistent U.S. opposition under President Trump, international diplomatic pressure, and Netanyahu's coalition dynamics that favor phased bureaucratic steps over a declared sovereignty move before 2027. Recent July 2026 funding allocations for additional settlements reinforce this pattern of gradual integration without triggering the legal threshold for full annexation. Trader consensus at 91% for no formal action reflects these structural barriers and the preference for de facto outcomes that avoid immediate escalation risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$90,012
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Israel anexará o território da Cisjordânia antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Israel vai anexar território da Cisjordânia antes de 2027?" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Israel anexará o território da Cisjordânia antes de 2027?" has generated $90K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Israel anexará o território da Cisjordânia antes de 2027?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Israel anexará o território da Cisjordânia antes de 2027?" is "Israel vai anexar território da Cisjordânia antes de 2027?" at just 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Israel anexará o território da Cisjordânia antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.