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Política·Israel

Quais países reconhecerão a Palestina antes de 2027?

icon for Quais países reconhecerão a Palestina antes de 2027?
Política·Israel

Quais países reconhecerão a Palestina antes de 2027?

dez 31

dez 31

$624,946 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$624,946 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Estados Unidos

Estados Unidos

$16,213 Vol.

6%

icon for Itália

Itália

$15,147 Vol.

16%

icon for Países Baixos

Países Baixos

$49,466 Vol.

22%

icon for Japão

Japão

$39,870 Vol.

25%

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$66,145 Vol.

6%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$66,398 Vol.

19%

icon for Finlândia

Finlândia

$37,696 Vol.

17%

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$171,860 Vol.

4%

icon for Grécia

Grécia

$45,092 Vol.

12%

icon for Nova Zelândia

Nova Zelândia

$117,060 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.In September 2025, during the UN General Assembly's 80th session, a surge of diplomatic recognitions elevated the State of Palestine's status, with Britain, Canada, Australia, Portugal, France, Belgium, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, and Andorra formally acknowledging it as sovereign, bringing the total to 157 of 193 UN member states. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days as of mid-May 2026, leaving key holdouts including the United States, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the Netherlands conditioning recognition on advances in Israeli-Palestinian negotiations toward a two-state solution. Traders monitor potential catalysts like EU foreign ministers' meetings, G7 summits, national elections, and bilateral statements that could prompt shifts before the market's 2027 resolution.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$624,946
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.In September 2025, during the UN General Assembly's 80th session, a surge of diplomatic recognitions elevated the State of Palestine's status, with Britain, Canada, Australia, Portugal, France, Belgium, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, and Andorra formally acknowledging it as sovereign, bringing the total to 157 of 193 UN member states. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days as of mid-May 2026, leaving key holdouts including the United States, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the Netherlands conditioning recognition on advances in Israeli-Palestinian negotiations toward a two-state solution. Traders monitor potential catalysts like EU foreign ministers' meetings, G7 summits, national elections, and bilateral statements that could prompt shifts before the market's 2027 resolution.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$624,946
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quais países reconhecerão a Palestina antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Japão" at 25%, followed by "Países Baixos" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quais países reconhecerão a Palestina antes de 2027?" has generated $624.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quais países reconhecerão a Palestina antes de 2027?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quais países reconhecerão a Palestina antes de 2027?" is "Japão" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Países Baixos" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quais países reconhecerão a Palestina antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.