Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 88.5% for U.S. annexation of any territory in 2026, reflecting stalled diplomatic and legislative efforts amid strong international opposition. President Trump's early-year push for Greenland acquisition—via public statements, Rep. Randy Fine's January annexation bill, and Pentagon emphasis on Western Hemisphere security—sparked initial speculation, but Denmark's prime minister firmly rejected claims, U.S. senators introduced blocking legislation, and NATO allies voiced concerns over alliance stability. No negotiations have advanced, no military actions occurred, and no further catalysts emerged in the past 30 days through mid-May. Constitutional requirements for treaties or congressional approval, plus historical rarity of U.S. annexations, reinforce trader skepticism despite rhetoric on Canada or Panama Canal. Late-year developments like summits could shift odds, but barriers remain high.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$22,830 Vol.
$22,830 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$22,830 Vol.
$22,830 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 88.5% for U.S. annexation of any territory in 2026, reflecting stalled diplomatic and legislative efforts amid strong international opposition. President Trump's early-year push for Greenland acquisition—via public statements, Rep. Randy Fine's January annexation bill, and Pentagon emphasis on Western Hemisphere security—sparked initial speculation, but Denmark's prime minister firmly rejected claims, U.S. senators introduced blocking legislation, and NATO allies voiced concerns over alliance stability. No negotiations have advanced, no military actions occurred, and no further catalysts emerged in the past 30 days through mid-May. Constitutional requirements for treaties or congressional approval, plus historical rarity of U.S. annexations, reinforce trader skepticism despite rhetoric on Canada or Panama Canal. Late-year developments like summits could shift odds, but barriers remain high.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Volume
$22,830Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 88.5% for U.S. annexation of any territory in 2026, reflecting stalled diplomatic and legislative efforts amid strong international opposition. President Trump's early-year push for Greenland acquisition—via public statements, Rep. Randy Fine's January annexation bill, and Pentagon emphasis on Western Hemisphere security—sparked initial speculation, but Denmark's prime minister firmly rejected claims, U.S. senators introduced blocking legislation, and NATO allies voiced concerns over alliance stability. No negotiations have advanced, no military actions occurred, and no further catalysts emerged in the past 30 days through mid-May. Constitutional requirements for treaties or congressional approval, plus historical rarity of U.S. annexations, reinforce trader skepticism despite rhetoric on Canada or Panama Canal. Late-year developments like summits could shift odds, but barriers remain high.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,830Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 88.5% for U.S. annexation of any territory in 2026, reflecting stalled diplomatic and legislative efforts amid strong international opposition. President Trump's early-year push for Greenland acquisition—via public statements, Rep. Randy Fine's January annexation bill, and Pentagon emphasis on Western Hemisphere security—sparked initial speculation, but Denmark's prime minister firmly rejected claims, U.S. senators introduced blocking legislation, and NATO allies voiced concerns over alliance stability. No negotiations have advanced, no military actions occurred, and no further catalysts emerged in the past 30 days through mid-May. Constitutional requirements for treaties or congressional approval, plus historical rarity of U.S. annexations, reinforce trader skepticism despite rhetoric on Canada or Panama Canal. Late-year developments like summits could shift odds, but barriers remain high.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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