Strong diplomatic resistance from Denmark and its NATO allies, combined with entrenched constitutional requirements for congressional approval of any territorial acquisition, underpins the 96% trader consensus against U.S. annexation in 2026. Early-year proposals and legislation targeting Greenland gained minimal traction in Congress, while international norms against territorial changes and broad opposition to military options further reduced prospects. Ongoing U.S. engagements elsewhere produced no formal annexations, consistent with the absence of successful precedents since the mid-20th century. Remaining uncertainty centers on potential late-year bilateral negotiations or conflict-related transfers, though alliance commitments, Senate vote thresholds, and time constraints before December 31 make such outcomes improbable.