Nicolás Maduro, captured by U.S. forces in January 2026 and now in custody in New York, faces a superseding indictment in the Southern District of New York on multiple counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons possession. He and his wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty in early January, with pre-trial hearings ongoing; a federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss charges over legal funding disputes on March 26. Traders' 87.5% implied probability on "No" reflects the case's early procedural stage, upcoming June 30 court date, historical narcoterrorism prosecutions' tendency toward pleas rather than full trials, and defense arguments of political motivations amid limited prior convictions on all counts under the statute. A verdict remains distant, with potential for partial acquittals or deals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$102,590 Vol.
$102,590 Vol.
31 dez 2027
Sim
$102,590 Vol.
$102,590 Vol.
31 dez 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro, captured by U.S. forces in January 2026 and now in custody in New York, faces a superseding indictment in the Southern District of New York on multiple counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons possession. He and his wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty in early January, with pre-trial hearings ongoing; a federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss charges over legal funding disputes on March 26. Traders' 87.5% implied probability on "No" reflects the case's early procedural stage, upcoming June 30 court date, historical narcoterrorism prosecutions' tendency toward pleas rather than full trials, and defense arguments of political motivations amid limited prior convictions on all counts under the statute. A verdict remains distant, with potential for partial acquittals or deals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$102,590Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro, captured by U.S. forces in January 2026 and now in custody in New York, faces a superseding indictment in the Southern District of New York on multiple counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons possession. He and his wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty in early January, with pre-trial hearings ongoing; a federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss charges over legal funding disputes on March 26. Traders' 87.5% implied probability on "No" reflects the case's early procedural stage, upcoming June 30 court date, historical narcoterrorism prosecutions' tendency toward pleas rather than full trials, and defense arguments of political motivations amid limited prior convictions on all counts under the statute. A verdict remains distant, with potential for partial acquittals or deals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$102,590Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro, captured by U.S. forces in January 2026 and now in custody in New York, faces a superseding indictment in the Southern District of New York on multiple counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons possession. He and his wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty in early January, with pre-trial hearings ongoing; a federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss charges over legal funding disputes on March 26. Traders' 87.5% implied probability on "No" reflects the case's early procedural stage, upcoming June 30 court date, historical narcoterrorism prosecutions' tendency toward pleas rather than full trials, and defense arguments of political motivations amid limited prior convictions on all counts under the statute. A verdict remains distant, with potential for partial acquittals or deals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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